This edition of Formulator Focus is for the biggest match-up of week 9 of the 2017 college football season as the Ohio State Buckeyes host the Penn State Nittany Lions.
This is the marquee game of week 9 in college football. The winner here not only becomes the favorite to win the Big Ten, they become a favorite to make the College Football Playoff. The game starts at 3:30 ET and can be seen Saturday on FOX.
Ohio State at Penn State Preview
After last season, each team has a reason for revenge. Ohio State wants revenge for losing at Penn State last year. Penn State wants revenge because despite winning the Big Ten Title, the Buckeyes got a spot in the College Football Playoff.
The Buckeyes come in to to the game 6-1 and ranked #2 in our power rankings this week. The Nittany Lions are undefeated at 7-0 and ranked #3 in our power rankings.
The Vegas line is Ohio State -6.5 with a total of 57.5.
Now let’s look at some numbers for this match-up.
Ohio State Offense vs. Penn State Defense
|Ohio State Offense||VS||Penn State Defense|
|Points For||47.3||Points Against|
|Passing Yards For||325.1||Pass Yards Against|
|Rush Yards||252.1||Rush Yards Ag|
|Third Down Conversion %||49.44%||Third Down Conversion % Allowed|
|Red Zone Coversion %||85.71%||Red Zone Conversion % Allowed|
Penn State Offense vs. Ohio State Defense
|Penn State Offense||VS||Ohio State Defense|
|Points For||40||Points Against|
|Passing Yards For||289.9||Pass Yards Against|
|Rush Yards||173.4||Rush Yards Ag|
|Third Down Conversion %||39.33%||Third Down Conversion % Allowed|
|Red Zone Coversion %||84.38%||Red Zone Conversion % Allowed|
Game Changers – Ohio State vs. Penn State
|Ohio State||Penn State|
|Turnover Margin Per Game||1||1.7|
|Penalties Per Game||74.4||34.6|
|Opp Penalties Per Game||51.6||48.9|
The Formula has accurately predicted the straight up winner of 6 of 7 games (missed on Oklahoma vs. Ohio State) for the Buckeyes and is 7-0 in games involving the Nittany Lions.
The Formula has missed on the total of every Ohio State game this year and only hit 3 of 7 on Penn State games. We predict a Buckeyes win 34-32. Last season, these two combined for 45, 11 under the total.
Free Pick for Ohio State at Penn State – Take the UNDER 56.5
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