How to Bet Penn State at Ohio State – October 28, 2017

This edition of Formulator Focus is for the biggest match-up of week 9 of the 2017 college football season as the Ohio State Buckeyes host the Penn State Nittany Lions.

This is the marquee game of week 9 in college football.  The winner here not only becomes the favorite to win the Big Ten, they become a favorite to make the College Football Playoff.  The game starts at 3:30 ET and can be seen Saturday on FOX.

Ohio State at Penn State Preview

After last season, each team has a reason for revenge.  Ohio State wants revenge for losing at Penn State last year.  Penn State wants revenge because despite winning the Big Ten Title, the Buckeyes got a spot in the College Football Playoff.

The Buckeyes come in to to the game 6-1 and ranked #2 in our power rankings this week.  The Nittany Lions are undefeated at 7-0 and ranked #3 in our power rankings.

The Vegas line is Ohio State -6.5 with a total of 57.5.

Now let’s look at some numbers for this match-up.

Ohio State Offense vs. Penn State Defense

Ohio State Offense VS Penn State Defense
Points For 47.3 Points Against
Passing Yards For 325.1 Pass Yards Against
Rush Yards 252.1 Rush Yards Ag
Third Down Conversion % 49.44% Third Down Conversion % Allowed
Red Zone Coversion % 85.71% Red Zone Conversion % Allowed

Penn State Offense vs. Ohio State Defense

Penn State Offense VS Ohio State Defense
Points For 40 Points Against
Passing Yards For 289.9 Pass Yards Against
Rush Yards 173.4 Rush Yards Ag
Third Down Conversion % 39.33% Third Down Conversion % Allowed
Red Zone Coversion % 84.38% Red Zone Conversion % Allowed

Game Changers – Ohio State vs. Penn State

Ohio State Penn State
Turnover Margin Per Game 1 1.7
Penalties Per Game 74.4 34.6
Opp Penalties Per Game 51.6 48.9
Final Analysis

The Formula has accurately predicted the straight up winner of 6 of 7 games (missed on Oklahoma vs. Ohio State) for the Buckeyes and is 7-0 in games involving the Nittany Lions.

The Formula has missed on the total of every Ohio State game this year and only hit 3 of 7 on Penn State games.  We predict a Buckeyes win 34-32. Last season, these two combined for 45, 11 under the total.

Free Pick for Ohio State at Penn State – Take the UNDER 56.5

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