Matt’s Mind: College Football Week 5 Reaction

by Matt Fischer

Week 5 is over and the axe is swinging.  Lane Kiffin is out at USC after being pulled off the bus following a 62-41 loss at Arizona State Saturday night.  Then today UConn terminated Paul Pasqualoni.  This could be the start of many opening coming to college football this season.  With potential openings at Nebraska and Texas, there could be several big time openings in college football come December.

USC will make a splash.  They’re going to go after an established coach who has a proven record and can recruit.  I think the guy flying under the radar is Charlie Strong of Louisville.  He’s had great success at Louisville and could come in and win right away with the Trojans.  He could lock down top recruits and stock the roster with top notch talent year after year.  I wouldn’t be surprised to see the Trojans gauge interest from Chip Kelly also.  If the Eagles go 3-13 (or worse) he may want to jump back to college football and he’d get a huge payday and go back to a league he’s familiar with from his days at Oregon.

Oklahoma had a big win this weekend.  Going on the road to Notre Dame, they got off to a fast start thanks to a pick six and then controlled the rest of the game winning 35-21.  Big win for OU and the Big XII.

What has happened to South Florida?  Not long ago this looked like a program on the rise and now it looks like one of the worst in the nation.  They took another beating this week as Miami crushed them 49-21.

North Carolina is in trouble.  I expected them to be contenders in the ACC and they still could be but their defense got lit up for 55 points by East Carolina this weekend.  Larry Fedora has to be very concerned.

Will Oregon score under 50 this season?  They have looked unstoppable so far this season.  They do have some tough games ahead but they look like their offense could be more potent than ever.

Alabama sent a message to everyone saying the SEC can’t play defense this season.  The Tide shut out a good Ole Miss team on Saturday.  That was impressive.

My weekly awards:

Player of the Week:   Aaron Murray (QB – Georgia) – Not overly impressive stats but he made the throws when his team needed him and he led the game winning drive of the best game of the season so far.  Murray is no longer doubted in the big game after his performances this season at Clemson and beating LSU.

Team of the Week:  Iowa Hawkeyes – The Hawkeyes went to undefeated Minnesota and dominated the game.  They jumped out to a 17-0 halftime lead and cruised to a 23-7 win.  After a disappointing 2012 season, they’re looking like they made big improvements this year.

Game of the Week:  Georgia vs. LSU –  Georgia won 44-41 in a back and forth classic.  This was the best game of the 2013 season.  These are two great teams that could collide again in the SEC Championship and then go to the BCS Championship.  Players stepped up in this game and delivered big time performances.

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2013 College Football Week 5 Match-ups

 

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Week 5 of the 2013 College Football season starts tomorrow night let’s take a look at the matchups.  These are how the win % breaks down for each game on the board this weekend.

Here are how week 5 college football match-ups breakdown:

TEAM WIN %
Virginia Tech 43%
Georgia Tech 57%
Iowa State 49%
Tulsa 51%
Middle Tennessee St 35%
BYU 65%
Utah State 55%
San Jose State 45%
Virginia 38%
Pittsburgh 62%
Northern Illinois 66%
Purdue 34%
Troy 36%
Duke 64%
Connecticut 81%
Buffalo 19%
Toledo 48%
Ball State 52%
Central Michigan 27%
NC State 73%
Kent State 73%
Western Michigan 27%
East Carolina 33%
North Carolina 67%
Florida State 66%
Boston College 34%
UAB 22%
Vanderbilt 78%
Miami (OH) 28%
Illinois 72%
SMU 38%
TCU 62%
Arkansas State 47%
Missouri 53%
Iowa 53%
Minnesota 47%
UTEP 33%
Colorado State 67%
LSU 46%
Georgia 54%
Arizona 46%
Washington 54%
Mississippi 44%
Alabama 56%
California 27%
Oregon 73%
USC 49%
Arizona State 51%
Army 33%
Louisiana Tech 67%
Texas A&M 62%
Arkansas 38%
Oklahoma 52%
Notre Dame 48%
Southern Miss 16%
Boise State 84%
Miami (FL) 72%
South Florida 28%
Wake Forest 25%
Clemson 75%
Temple 52%
Idaho 48%
Tulane 30%
LA-Monroe 70%
Houston 52%
UT-San Antonio 48%
Akron 20%
Bowling Green 80%
Colorado 30%
Oregon State 70%
South Carolina 52%
Central Florida 48%
Florida 63%
Kentucky 37%
Stanford 61%
Washington State 39%
Wyoming 60%
Texas State 40%
Navy 51%
Western Kentucky 49%
Florida Atlantic 32%
Rice 68%
South Alabama 27%
Tennessee 73%
Air Force 26%
Nevada 74%
Oklahoma State 64%
West Virginia 36%
Wisconsin 46%
Ohio State 54%
UNLV 40%
New Mexico 60%
San Diego State 92%
New Mexico State 8%
Fresno State 81%
Hawaii 19%

On the season, we’re 229-40 (85%) Straight Up, 141-125-2 (53%) ATS and 111-106-1 (51%) on Totals with our predicted scores.  Our recommended plays are 13-13 (50%) for the season.

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Matt’s Mind: College Football Week 4 Reaction

By Matt Fischer

Week 4 is done and didn’t provide too many interesting storylines as the weekend lacked a lot of big time match-ups.  The biggest game of the weekend was in the Pac-12 as Stanford hosted Arizona State.  This was a tale of two halves as the Cardinal dominated the first half leading 29-0.  ASU came charging back in the second half to close the gap some but penalties kept them from being able to narrow it any further.  Stanford looked good winning 42-28.

In the SEC, the old rivals Florida and Tennessee tangled in the Swamp.  Florida’s QB Jeff Driskel went down to injury and is out for the year.  The Gators offense looked the best it has this season but still has a ways to go.  Tennessee fought until the end and Butch Jones has to be proud of his team’s effort on Saturday.  The Vols should be competitive in the SEC but probably won’t win many games in conference.

Dabo Sweeney has to be pleased that his team didn’t pull a Clemson and get upset on Thursday night at NC State.  The Wolf Pack has pulled upsets like this before and Clemson has lost games like this in the past as well.  Clemson did what it had to get out of town with a W.

I guess style points matter again to the coaches.  There used to be outrage when a when a game would end with a 70+ point spread.  Didn’t hear much of that this weekend as Ohio State dominated their way to a 76-0 win and Louisville posted a 72-0 victory.  I don’t think there is such a thing as “running up the score”.  Both teams are still playing.  If a team wants to call the game at 56-0 they should just forfeit at that point.  At least Miami let their opponent score as they won 77-7.

Michigan fans have to be worried with the way the Wolverines have been winning lately.  Michigan has let Akron and Connecticut hang around until the end the past two weeks.  Maybe at the end of the season we’ll find those teams are better than we think now but Michigan can’t keep playing like this or it’s gonna put at least 1 L on their record in 2013.  Brady Hoke is a great coach and should figure it out.

Baylor again put up 70.  UL-Monroe is not a BCS Contender but whooping them by 63 is impressive.  This Baylor offense is giving D-coordinators in the Big XII nightmares.

My weekly awards:

Player of the Week:  Tom Savage (QB – Pittsburgh) – 23 of 33 for 424 and 6 touchdowns.  Gaudy numbers for a Pitt team that looks to make a name for itself in the ACC this season.

Team of the Week:  Maryland Terrapins – moved to 4-0 with a 37-0 win against West Virginia.  People are starting to believe in the Terps.  Injuries hampered their success last year but they’re playing well and a shutout of Dana Holgersen’s team looks mighty impressive.

Game of the Week:  Rutgers vs. Arkansas – The Hogs looked great early racing out to a lead but Rutgers battled back and got a late TD to win 28-24.  Big win for Rutgers and the AAC.

Big games coming up in college football week 5 this weekend as LSU travels to Georgia, Ole Miss goes to Alabama, Ohio State hosts Wisconsin and Oklahoma is at Notre Dame.  Check back tomorrow for our projected win percentages for each college football game on the board this week and then on Wednesday we’ll have predicted scores.  Join us for as little as $5 to get winning info!  Sign up at www.sportsformulator.com/sign-up/.

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2013 College Football Week 4 Match-ups

 

Last week our premium plays were 4-2 (67%) and combined with our week 2 results we’re 8-3 (73%) so join us this week (for just $5) or for the best value join us for the rest of the season ($50) by signing up here.  We’ve got 8 premium plays for you this weekend! You don’t want to miss this opportunity so take advantage of this offer now!  By signing up you’ll not just get our premium plays, you’ll also get our predicted scores for every game on the board this weekend, 58 in total!

Week 4 of the 2013 College Football season starts tomorrow night let’s take a look at the matchups.  These are how the win % breaks down for each game on the board this weekend.

Here are how week 4 college football match-ups breakdown:

TEAM WIN %
Clemson 63%
NC State 37%
Boise St 49%
Fresno St 51%
North Texas 24%
Georgia 76%
Florida International 13%
Louisville 87%
Western Michigan 37%
Iowa 63%
Vanderbilt 80%
Massachusetts 20%
Tennessee 42%
Florida 58%
Wake Forest 53%
Army 47%
Pittsburgh 59%
Duke 41%
Michigan 64%
Connecticut 36%
Purdue 23%
Wisconsin 77%
Ball St 67%
Eastern Michigan 33%
Kent St 39%
Penn St 61%
Marshall 44%
Virginia Tech 56%
Cincinnati 83%
Miami (OH) 17%
North Carolina 45%
Georgia Tech 55%
West Virginia 52%
Maryland 48%
San Jose St 62%
Minnesota 38%
Troy 30%
Mississippi St 70%
LA-Monroe 35%
Baylor 65%
Wyoming 63%
Air Force 37%
Utah 46%
BYU 54%
Hawaii 28%
Nevada 72%
Utah St 51%
USC 49%
SMU 29%
Texas A&M 71%
Rice 53%
Houston 47%
Michigan St 46%
Notre Dame 54%
Kansas St 50%
Texas 50%
Arkansas St 66%
Memphis 34%
Louisiana Tech 45%
Kansas 55%
Colorado St 19%
Alabama 81%
Arkansas 44%
Rutgers 56%
Arizona St 45%
Stanford 55%
LA-Lafayette 80%
Akron 20%
Idaho 32%
Washington St 68%
Middle Tennessee St 57%
Florida Atlantic 43%
Tulane 23%
Syracuse 77%
Toledo 63%
Central Michigan 37%
Texas St 30%
Texas Tech 70%
Oregon St 61%
San Diego St 39%
Auburn 41%
LSU 59%
TX-San Antonio 55%
UTEP 45%
Missouri 54%
Indiana 46%
New Mexico St 4%
UCLA 96%
Jacksonville St 30%
Georgia St 70%
Savannah St 2%
Miami (FL) 98%
Bethune-Cookman 3%
Florida St 97%
Maine 7%
Northwestern 93%
Florida A&M 1%
Ohio St 99%
Virginia Military 3%
Virginia 97%
South Dakota St 13%
Nebraska 87%
Austin Peay 2%
Ohio 98%
Northwestern St 11%
UAB 89%
Murray St 4%
Bowling Green 96%
Idaho St 1%
Washington 99%
Morgan St 3%
Western Kentucky 97%
Eastern Illinois 14%
Northern Illinois 86%
Western Illinois 26%
UNLV 74%

On the season, we’re 177-34 (84%) Straight Up, 109-99 (52.4%) ATS and 86-86 (49.4%) on Totals with our predicted scores.

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Matt’s Mind: College Football Week 3 Reactions

 

by Matt Fischer

This season’s “Game of the Century” went down Saturday in College Station, Texas as defending National Champs Alabama went to Texas A&M and defeated Johnny Football and crew.  A.J. McCarron put on an impressive performance leading Alabama to the 49-42 win.  Vinnie Sunseri had a great interception return and looked like he should be getting some snaps on the offensive side of the ball.  HaHa Clinton-Dix had a terrible penalty called on him and was temporarily ejected but luckily replay cleared him to stay in the game but Bama still suffered a 15 penalty for the incorrect call.

The ending in Tempe as Saturday’s action wrapped up was bizarre.  Wisconsin’s QB Joel Stave tried downing the ball deep in Arizona State territory to setup a game winning field goal but he never took a knee.  Some people blame this Wisconsin loss on the officials or ASU for lying on the ball.  Neither are to blame, this one is on Stave.  He never took a knew and by simply setting the ball down, that’s a fumble.  That ball was live and free for the taking.  It shouldn’t have much of an impact on the Badgers season.  Gives them a loss but it’s not in the conference and they’re not expected to be in BCS contention.

I was stunned Saturday afternoon to see Michigan struggling to put away lowly Akron.  I give it to Terry Bowden’s team for nearly winning in the Big House but failing to convert just yards away from a huge upset.  This was a letdown for the Wolverines who won a big game against Notre Dame last week.

The Wolverines near upset was only part of a horrible weekend for the Big Ten.  The Pac-12 took 3 of 4 against the Big Ten this weekend with the Big Ten only winning the most lopsided matchup as Ohio State played a non-bowl team Cal.  Nebraska was destroyed by UCLA.  The Huskers were completely obliterated by the Bruins in the second half.  These wins push the Pac-12 solidly into the second best conference in the nation behind the all-powerful SEC.

Texas is in total disarray.  Things can’t be going well this week in Austin.  They fired Manny Diaz last week but the defense still gave up 44 against Ole Miss.  The Rebels were our top play of the week because of Texas’ pourous defense.  The Longhorns have talent on that side of the ball but simply don’t have a scheme that works.  There is going to be a major overhaul at UT this offseason.

Here are my weekly awards:

Team of the Week:  UCLA Bruins – The Bruins lost a teammate just a week ago and went out and had a slow start as they fell behind 21-3 at Nebraska on Saturday.  It’d have been easy for them to pack it in but they came roaring back to smash Nebraska 41-21.

Player of the Week:  Mike Evans (WR – Texas A&M) – Despite the loss to Alabama, Evans had a monster game.  He caught seven passes for 279 yards and 1 touchdown.  He looked like a man among boys out there as simply dominated the Alabama defense.

Game of the Week:  Alabama at Texas A&M – This was a much hyped game but it lived up to it.  Tremendous offensive performances from both sides as the Tide rolled to a 49-42 win.  It was a game that saw teams make runs.  A&M jumped out to an early 14-0 game before Bama came charging back.

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