Matt’s Mind – ATS Plays for NBA Playoffs (April 22, 2013)

 

Rebounded yesterday with a solid 3-1 performance playing the under on every game.  That bumps me to 4-3-1 ATS in the 2013 NBA Playoffs.  Only two games tonight as teams from middle of the country try to even up their series on the coasts.  Here’s what’s on my mind for each game:

Chicago Bulls at Brooklyn Nets

The Nets looked good blowing out the Bulls on Saturday.  I think it’s going to be a different story tonight.  Joakim Noah returns to the lineup tonight and he’ll disrupt things in the paint and make shots harder for the Nets.  Plus his energy should spur the Bulls as well.  I think this is a very shaky spot for the Nets.  They’re riding high after the big win Saturday and I could see the upset happening.

The Play:  Bulls +4.5

Memphis Grizzlies at Los Angeles Clippers

The Grizzlies just faded midway through the fourth quarter on Saturday. The Clippers played like a team who expected to win that game and this series.  The way they went from only being up one to blowing out the Grizz was impressive in the fourth.  Lionel Hollins is a good coach and I expect him to get his team refocused and pound the ball inside tonight.  If it’s a repeat of Saturday where Jerryd Bayless takes more shots than each of them, the Grizz lose and it’s ugly again.  Marc Gasol and Zach Randolph should each have 20 shots in this game.  They need to be fed the ball and try to get Blake Griffin and DeAndre Jordan in foul trouble.  The Grizz can’t match the talent that comes off the bench in LA so they’ve got to go to their two best players and hope they can carry them to a win.  I’ll take the Grizzlies with the points.

The Play:  Grizzlies +5.5

See how what the formula says for each of today’s games here.

Check out our odds for each team to win their conference and NBA Championship as well as our projected 2013 NBA Playoff Records.

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NBA Playoff Predictions for April 22, 2013

 

NBA Results
Yesterday:  4-0 SU (100%),  3-1 (75%) ATS,  3-1 (75%) Totals
2013 NBA Playoffs: 8-0 SU (100%), 3-4-1 ATS (43%), 6-2 (75%) Totals

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NBA Playoff Predictions for April 22, 2013:

TEAM WIN % SCORE VEGAS LINE
Bulls 43% 90 183
Nets 57% 94 -4.5
Grizzlies 41% 91 181.5
Clippers 59% 95 -5.5

Today’s spokesmodel is Summer Airacela.

summer2

More about Summer Airacela:
Website – www.modelmayhem.com/2961800
Hometown – Huntington beach, CA
Favorite Sport – basketball
Favorite Team – The Lakers

Read Matt’s Mind for ATS Plays on Today’s NBA Games.

Check out our odds for each team to win their conference and NBA Championship as well as our projected 2013 NBA Playoff Records.

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Matt’s Mind – ATS Plays for NBA Playoffs (April 21, 2013)

 

1-2-1 to start with my picks which is disappointing.  Memphis has to get offense off the bench.  They got within 1 at 77-76 in the fourth and then the Clippers just dominated the rest of the game.  Here’s to hoping today’s better as I’ve got a common theme for all of today’s action.

Atlanta Hawks at Indiana Pacers

Neither team is playing great coming into this series.  The Pacers though are a strong home team while the Hawks can struggle on the road.  I think the Pacers defense stifles the Hawks offense and makes the total the play.

The Play:  Under 185.5

Los Angeles Lakers at San Antonio Spurs

This is the most interesting game of the day.  The Lakers have played well without Kobe and if Steve Nash can return and be effective they can challenge the Spurs.  Tony Parker struggled against the Lakers in their last meeting so he’ll be the key today.  I think he has a solid game for the Spurs and they win but the spread here is one I’d stay away from today.  The total is the play here.

The Play:  Under 189.5

Milwaukee Bucks at Miami Heat

The Bucks have been talking some trash to the Heat and the Heat haven’t seemed to just let it slide off their back.  I think the Heat might send a message in this game and lock the Bucks down.  When you think of Miami, many people think of the offense the Big 3 can provide.  However, the Heat play outstanding defense.  Look for that to be the story of this game.

The Play:  Under 198

Houston Rockets at Oklahoma City Thunder

This should be a very fast paced game.  These teams can get up and down the floor.  Two of the highest scoring teams in the league collide for what should be a brief but entertaining series.  I think the total is inflated here so I’d play the Under here also.

The Play:  Under 213

Good luck today!

See how what the formula says for each of today’s games here.

Check out our odds for each team to win their conference and NBA Championship as well as our projected 2013 NBA Playoff Records.

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NBA Playoff Predictions for April 21, 2013

 

NBA Results
Yesterday: 4-0 SU (100%),  0-3-1 (0%) ATS, 3-1 (75%) Totals
2013 NBA Playoffs:  4-0 SU (100%),  0-3-1 (0%) ATS, 3-1 (75%) Totals

Check out our odds for each team to win their conference and NBA Championship as well as our projected 2013 NBA Playoff Records.

NBA Playoff Predictions for April 21, 2013:

TEAM WIN % SCORE VEGAS LINE
Hawks 29% 87 185.5
Pacers 71% 97 -6.5
Lakers 30% 86 189.5
Spurs 70% 96 -8.5
Bucks 25% 93 199
Heat 75% 105 -13
Rockets 29% 98 213
Thunder 71% 109 -10

Today’s spokesmodel is TahitiCora.

cora1

More about TahitiCora:
-Website:Facebook : www.facebook.com/coramiami
Twitter : Tahiticora
Instagram : Tahiticora
Website : corasworld
-Hometown: Miami
-Favorite Sport: Hockey
-Favorite Sports Team: Panthers

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Read Matt’s Mind for Today’s NBA Playoff Plays.

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NBA Playoff Predictions for April 20, 2013

 

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The NBA Playoffs begin this afternoon.  15 teams trying to dethrone the Heat.  Check out our odds for each team to win their conference and NBA Championship as well as our projected 2013 NBA Playoff Records.

NBA Predictions for April 20, 2013:

TEAM WIN % SCORE VEGAS LINE
Celtics 35% 90 189.5
Knicks 65% 98 -7
Warriors 32% 99 210.5
Nuggets 68% 108 -7.5
Bulls 42% 87 181.5
Nets 58% 91 -4.5
Grizzlies 40% 88 178.5
Clippers 60% 93 -5

Today’s spokesmodel is Jennifer Gonzalez.

SONY DSC

About Jennifer Gonzalez:
Website(s):
www.JGmodeltalent.com
www.facebook.com/JenniferIreneGonzalez
www.twitter.com/JGmodeltalent
www.vimeo.com/JGmodeltalent
www.youtube.com/JGmodeltalent
www.modelmayhem.com/JGmodeltalent
www.instagram.com/JGmodeltalent
Hometown: Redondo Beach, California
Favorite Sport: Basketball
Favorite Sports Team: Clippers

Read Matt’s Mind for Today’s NBA Playoff Plays.

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Matt’s Mind – ATS Plays for NBA Playoffs (April 20, 2013)

 

After a grueling 82 team regular season, 16 teams try to win 16 more games and claim the NBA Championship.  That journey begins today as eight teams open up the 2013 NBA Playoffs.  I’ll give you my ATS thoughts on each game of the playoffs so check back daily to see which side I recommend and hopefully you can capitalize on them.

See how what the formula says for each of today’s games here.

Check out our odds for each team to win their conference and NBA Championship as well as our projected 2013 NBA Playoff Records.

Boston Celtics at New York Knicks

The first game of the day is from what I expect to be the best first round series, Celtics vs. Knicks.  Congratulations to Carmelo Anthony on his scoring title.  His performance over the past month of the season has been impressive.  He has elevated his game.  Now is where he needs to show he’s truly an elite NBA player and put up big numbers in the playoffs and get his team through the first round.  Boston should be rested and hopes to have KG back to 100% or as close to it as he can be.  The Celtics are a battle tested team but the Knicks have really developed a great chemistry.  The Celtics have experience but I see the Knicks wanting this game more.  I think MSG will be rocking for this game and say the Knicks thrive on that energy.

The Play: New York Knicks -7

Golden State Warriors at Denver Nuggets

The Kenneth Faried injury has me very concerned with this game so I’d stay away from the sides.  If Faried is healthy, I could see the Nuggets blowing them out if he is but if he’s not David Lee could have a big game for the Warriors.  With so many Warriors making their playoff debut, I think the play here is with the total.  I think they’ll play tight.

The Play:  Under 210.5

Chicago Bulls at Brooklyn Nets

After a dismal start and horrid Christmas Day performance, a coaching change was made that helped vault the Nets to the fourth spot in the Eastern Conference.

The Play:  Chicago Bulls +4.5

Memphis Grizzlies at Los Angeles Clippers

I can’t see this series ending before game 7.  They had a great series last year and this should be as well.  They matchup well against one another and will have a grind it out series where point guard play will be the difference.  The Clippers won their division and enter with playoffs with expectations.  How will they respond to that?  I think this game goes down to the final minute.  Take the points.

The Play: Memphis Grizzlies +5

Best of luck!

Got a comment?  Post it below or drop me a line at matt@sportsformulator.com.  Thanks for reading.

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2013 NBA Playoffs Projected Records

 

The 2013 NBA Playoffs get started tomorrow so we’re releasing what to expect over the next couple of months as 16 teams vie for the NBA Championship.

TEAM PLAYOFF WINS PLAYOFF LOSSES
Miami Heat 16 5
Oklahoma City Thunder 14 10
San Antonio Spurs 11 8
New York Knicks 10 10
Los Angeles Clippers 7 7
Denver Nuggets 7 6
Indiana Pacers 7 5
Chicago Bulls 5 7
Memphis Grizzlies 3 4
Brooklyn Nets 3 4
Boston Celtics 3 4
Golden State Warriors 2 4
Los Angeles Lakers 1 4
Atlanta Hawks 1 4
Milwaukee Bucks 0 4
Houston Rockets 0 4

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Each Team’s Odds to Win Conference and NBA Championship

 

The NBA regular season is over and the playoffs tip off tomorrow.  We’ve run through the matchups to calculate each team’s odds of winning their conference and NBA Championship.

EASTERN CONFERENCE Win %
Miami Heat 52%
Indiana Pacers 12%
New York Knicks 11%
Chicago Bulls 11%
Brooklyn Nets 11%
Boston Celtics 3%
Atlanta Hawks 0%
Milwaukee Bucks 0%

 

WESTERN CONFERENCE Win %
Oklahoma City Thunder 24%
San Antonio Spurs 22%
Los Angeles Clippers 19%
Denver Nuggets 17%
Memphis Grizzlies 17%
Los Angeles Lakers 1%
Golden State Warriors 0%
Houston Rockets 0%

 

NBA CHAMPIONSHIP Win %
Miami Heat 51%
Oklahoma City Thunder 13%
San Antonio Spurs 11%
Los Angeles Clippers 9%
Denver Nuggets 6%
Memphis Grizzlies 6%
Indiana Pacers 2%
New York Knicks 2%
Chicago Bulls 0%
Brooklyn Nets 0%
Boston Celtics 0%
Los Angeles Lakers 0%
Atlanta Hawks 0%
Milwaukee Bucks 0%
Golden State Warriors 0%
Houston Rockets 0%

Note:  The teams with 0% do actually have a shot but when calculated it’s less than 1%.

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NBA Predictions for April 17, 2013

 

NBA Results
Yesterday:  – SU (%), –  (%) ATS
In 2013: – SU (%), – ATS (%)

The NBA winds down tonight but there’s still some drama left as the Jazz and Lakers jockey for the last playoff position out West.  Here’s how it goes tonight.

NBA Predictions for April 17, 2013:

TEAM WIN % SCORE VEGAS LINE
Sixers 28% 85 186
Pacers 72% 95 -5.5
Magic 33% 95
Heat 67% 103
Celtics 55% 96
Raptors 45% 94
Wizards 37% 89 186
Bulls 63% 95 -8.5
Bucks 37% 102
Thunder 63% 108
Hawks 35% 96
Knicks 65% 103
Pistons 29% 91
Nets 71% 101
Cavs 55% 98 203
Bobcats 45% 96 -3
Hornets 37% 97 197.5
Mavericks 63% 103 -7.5
Timberwolves 44% 103
Spurs 56% 109
Jazz 35% 89 180
Grizzlies 65% 96 -5
Clippers 68% 108 -6.5
Kings 32% 99 209.5
Warriors 55% 101
Blazers 45% 99
Rockets 50% 104 203
Lakers 50% 103 -3

Today’s spokesmodel is Shanti.

Shanti2

More about Shanti:

Hometown: Long Beach, CA
Favorite sports team: Lakers
Favorite sport: Cheerleading
Website: FaceBook.com/shanti.buys

Our FREE NBA Pick for April 17, 2013:

-Houston Rockets +3 at Los Angeles Lakers

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NBA Predictions for April 16, 2013

 

NBA Results
Yesterday: – SU (%)
In 2013: – SU (%)

NBA Predictions for April 16, 2013:

TEAM WIN % SCORE VEGAS LINE
Raptors 36% 93 196.5
Hawks 64% 100 -5.5
Pacers 53% 94 201
Celtics 47% 97 -2
Blazers 25% 91 202
Clippers 75% 103 -3

Today’s spokesmodel is Colleen Kennedy.

colleenk2

More about Colleen Kennedy:
-Website: www.facebook.com/misscolleenkennedy and www.modelmayhem.com/misscolleenkennedy
-Hometown:  Naperville, Illinois
-Favorite Sport: Basketball and Golf
-Favorite Sports Team: Chicago Bulls

Our FREE NBA Picks for April 16, 2013:

-Los Angeles Clippers -3 against Portland Trail Blazers

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