It’s a tough week for survivor pool strategy. There are only 13 games and we project over half of those to be very close games.
2016 Survivor Pick Results
Week 1 – Texans (Win)
Week 2 – Panthers (Win)
Week 3 – Packers (Win)
Week 4 – Chargers (Loss)
Week 5 – Steelers (Win)
Week 6 – Bills (Win)
Week 6 – Chiefs (Win)
We’re 6-1 on the season with survivor pick results!
Survivor Pool Pick Strategy:
We start with our list of 13 predicted winners:
Titans (vs. Jaguars)
Redskins (vs. Bengals in London)
Falcons (vs. Packers)
Texans (vs. Lions)
Seahawks (at Saints)
Bills (vs. Patriots)
Browns (vs. Jets)
Raiders (at Bucs)
Colts (vs. Chiefs)
Broncos (vs. Chargers)
Cardinals (at Panthers)
Cowboys (vs. Eagles)
Vikings (at Bears)
The Ravens, Rams, Dolphins, Giants, Steelers and 49ers are on a bye.
Now there are four steps to easily cut down your potential pick for your NFL survivor pool.
Eliminate Toss-Up Winners
First we eliminate toss-up games. That means we’re cutting the 1 point winners out of the list.
This wipes out over half of our candidates this week. The Redskins, Texans, Seahawks, Browns, Raiders, Colts and Cowboys are out of consideration. We have only six teams remaining.
Eliminate Road Winners
Next we eliminate road teams. I don’t like taking road teams to win in the NFL at all. Just too risky when you need a win, go with a home team.
Eliminating predicted road winners, the Cardinals and Vikings are no longer considered. Four teams are left in consideration.
Eliminate Low Ranking Winners
Next, I look for team that aren’t in our 20 of the power rankings. The Titans are predicted winners this week but are ranked 22nd so they’re eliminated. Three teams remain.
Eliminate Winners Playing Good Teams
Then, I look for our predicted winners that are playing teams ranked in the top 16 and take them out of consideration. This eliminates the Falcons against the 9th ranked Packers and Bills versus the top ranked Patriots. This leaves us with only one team this week.
Eliminate the Teams We’ve Already Picked in 2016
None of the teams we’ve previously selected are still in consideration.
Final Survivor Pool Pick Candidate
The Broncos off a short week face the Chargers, a AFC West foe. They’re the only team to fit all of our criteria for NFL week 8. Take the Broncos to survive.