Tag Archives: college football week 5 2016

Formulator Football Friday – September 30, 2016

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by Matt Fischer

Welcome to Formulator Football Friday!

BIG ANNOUNCEMENT

I’ll be going live at Noon ET today on Periscope to talk football with you and give out free picks.  If you miss the live broadcast you can watch it later on Periscope.

This will start happening more frequently so stay tuned on social media  for alerts when we go live.  I’m hoping to have Saturday and Sunday morning gameday broadcasts and a Sunday afternoon broadcast predicting college football point spreads for the week ahead and recapping the previous week.

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Free NFL Pick for this Week:
Take the Bears +3 against the Lions on Sunday.

I’ll have another free college football pick on the live broadcast on Periscope today.

Get our NFL and college football picks for this weekend for $5 in the Pick Shop.

College Football Week 5

Huge games in college football this week starting tonight with Stanford at Washington.  The winner becomes the Pac-12 favorite and de facto playoff contender for the conference.

Home teams usually do well on these Thursday and Friday night games so watch out for Washington.

Saturday’s biggest games are Louisville at Clemson and Wisconsin at Michigan.  Both games will be similar to the Pac-12 game on Friday night.  The winners become playoff contenders.  A Louisville win could get them some votes for #1 since they’d already have wins over Clemson and Florida State this season.

The game to watch is Saturday night in Baton Rouge.  How does LSU respond to this week’s dismal of Les Miles?

Who do you think wins this weekend?  Make your picks in our free College Football Pick ‘Ems.  Pick game winners or Against The Spread.

See our week 5 college football predictions and power rankings.

College Football Week 5 Consensus Picks

ATS Pick ‘Em
1.  Baylor -16.5 (91%)
2.  Nevada -6.5 (82%)
3.  Miami FL -6.5 (82%)
4.  Ohio State -38.5 (77%)
5.  Louisiana Tech -20.5 (77%)
6.  Southern Miss -21.5 (77%)
7.  Florida -9.5 (73%)
8.  Ole Miss -14.5 (68%)
9.  Texas A&M -17.5 (68%)
10.  Florida State -12.5 (68%)
11.  Missouri +13.5 (64%)
12.  Boise State -20.5 (64%)
13.  Michigan State -7.5 (64%)
14.  Colorado -16.5 (60%)
15.  Wisconsin +10.5 (59%)
16.  Navy +7.5 (55%)
17.  Alabama -34.5 (55%)
18.  New Mexico -6.5 (55%)
19.  USC -8.5 (55%)
20.  Notre Dame -13.5 (52%)

Game Winners Pick ‘Em
1.  Pittsburgh 93%
2.  West Virginia 93%
3.  Oklahoma 73%
4.  Minnesota 73%
5.  East Carolina 73%
6.  Oregon 67%
7.  Tennessee 67%
8.  Duke 67%
9.  Michigan 67%
10.  USC 60%
11.  Western Michigan 57%
12.  Louisville 53%
13.  California 53%
14.  Oklahoma State 53%
15.  Eastern Michigan 53%

NFL Week 4

By Monday night we’ll be a quarter of the way through the NFL season for 30 of the 32 teams.  That means it’s time to get it together if you’re 0-3.

We went 12-4 (75%) ATS last week on NFL!  See our week 4 NFL predictions and power rankings.

We’re 3-0 on the season with our NFL Survivor Pool Pick.  This week we went out on a bit of a limb with a team outside of our Top 10.  But to survive the season, you’ve got to take some calculated risks.

Consensus Picks

NFL Week 4 ATS Pick ‘Em
1.  Vikings -4.5 (76%)
2. Broncos -3.5 (76%)
3. Patriots -4.5 (75%)
4. Panthers -2.5 (76%)
5. Lions -2.5 (73%)
6. Cowboys -2.5 (71%)
7. Browns +7.5 (69%)
8. Raiders +3.5 (65%)
9. Chargers -3.5 (65%)
10. Chiefs +5.5 (65%)
11. Colts +2.5 (59%)
12. Rams +8.5 (59%)
13. Texans -6.5 (53%)
14. Jets +1.5 (53%)

NFL Week 4 Game Winner Pick ‘Em
1. Redskins 94%
2. Broncos 94%
3. Cardinals 94%
4. Cowboys 89%
5. Steelers 83%
6. Patriots 83%
7. Texans 78%
8. Chargers 78%
9. Vikings 78%
10. Lions 72%
11. Panthers 61%
12. Colts 56%
13. Jets 56%
14. Ravens 56%

Thanks for reading and I’ll see you at Noon ET for the first live broadcast of Formulator Football Friday.

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College Football Predictions Week 5 – 2016

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Les Miles is out at LSU in a surprise move.  At least surprising to be fired this early in the season.  Can Ed Orgeron finish out the season getting LSU to their full potential?

Three huge match-ups this week as Clemson hosts Louisville, Stanford visits Washington and Michigan plays Wisconsin.  These games will create national contenders.

Friday at Noon ET, get college football ATS picks live via SportsFormulator on Periscope.

Using our predictive formula we’ve predicted every college football game on the board in week 5.

College Football Predictions – Week 5

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thursday night football

September 29, 2016
RANK TEAM WIN % SCORE VEGAS LINE
121 103 Kansas 11% 19 80u
44 104 Texas Tech 89% 55 -28½
81 105 Connecticut 1% 3 51u
1 106 Houston 99% 49 -27½

friday night football

September 30, 2016
RANK TEAM WIN % SCORE VEGAS LINE
25 107 Toledo 46% 26 52u
26 108 BYU 54% 29 -4
9 109 Stanford 57% 31 45u
21 110 Washington 43% 24 -3

saturday football

October 1, 2016
RANK TEAM WIN % SCORE VEGAS LINE
89 111 Buffalo 48% 20 40u
95 112 Boston College 52% 21 -17½
88 113 Marshall 30% 16
40 114 Pittsburgh 70% 34
11 115 Memphis 38% 27 65½u
6 116 Mississippi 62% 38 -14½
101 117 Tulane 44% 25 -2½
97 118 Massachusetts 56% 30 45u
70 119 Minnesota 58% 27 55u
98 120 Penn State 42% 20 -3
65 121 Northwestern 44% 20 40u
62 122 Iowa 56% 25 -13
85 123 Rutgers 1% 3 59u
2 124 Ohio State 99% 53 -38½
35 125 Kansas State 44% 28 54½u
27 126 West Virginia 56% 33 -3½
61 127 Virginia 36% 22 59u
23 128 Duke 64% 35 -3½
49 129 Notre Dame 47% 28 -11
53 130 Syracuse 53% 31 75u
42 131 South Florida 54% 32 -4
66 132 Cincinnati 46% 29
110 133 SMU 28% 21 50u
67 134 Temple 72% 40 -12½
108 135 Old Dominion 59% 33 -8½
123 136 Charlotte 41% 25 58u
69 137 Middle Tennessee 63% 34 -15
109 138 North Texas 37% 22 60u
124 139 UTEP 18% 15 60½u
71 140 Louisiana Tech 82% 44 -20
118 141 Florida Atlantic 53% 28 -5
125 142 Florida International 47% 25
31 143 Western Michigan 66% 35 -3½
91 144 Central Michigan 34% 21 55½u
96 145 Northern Illinois 50% 27 58u
102 146 Ball State 50% 28 -4
117 147 Eastern Michigan 75% 46
128 148 Bowling Green 25% 23 -3
78 149 Ohio 46% 24 -2½
80 150 Miami (OH) 54% 28 56½u
30 151 Central Florida 73% 37 57½u
106 152 East Carolina 27% 17 -4
77 153 Akron 62% 26 -7
114 154 Kent State 38% 15 54½u
94 155 Purdue 38% 25
74 156 Maryland 62% 35 -10
17 157 Miami (FL) 48% 26 -7
19 158 Georgia Tech 52% 29 50u
90 159 Illinois 20% 13 54u
16 160 Nebraska 80% 40 -21
3 161 Wisconsin 58% 26 44u
8 162 Michigan 42% 18 -10½
7 163 Louisville 52% 29 -1
12 164 Clemson 48% 27
55 165 North Carolina 16% 13 69u
5 166 Florida State 84% 44 -11
113 167 Louisiana-Monroe 16% 13 56u
29 168 Auburn 84% 43 -33
56 169 Navy 45% 27 51u
46 170 Air Force 55% 32 -7½
119 171 Rice 16% 16
58 172 Southern Miss 84% 47 -24
116 173 Wyoming 31% 19
84 174 Colorado State 69% 36 -6½
76 175 Kentucky 6% 3
4 176 Alabama 94% 45 -35
22 177 Tennessee 61% 29 -3½
72 178 Georgia 39% 19 54u
82 179 Georgia State 34% 20
45 180 Appalachian State 66% 35 -19
52 181 Florida 46% 17 -10
51 182 Vanderbilt 54% 21 41½u
33 183 Utah 58% 33 66u
73 184 California 42% 27 -1
39 185 Texas 50% 32 71u
57 186 Oklahoma State 50% 31 -3
93 187 Oregon State 21% 14
18 188 Colorado 79% 41 -17½
38 189 Wake Forest 47% 24 51u
43 190 North Carolina State 53% 27 -10
10 191 Texas A&M 77% 37 -17½
86 192 South Carolina 23% 13 48½u
60 193 Arizona 38% 27 59u
28 194 UCLA 62% 38 -13
48 195 Arizona State 43% 29 64u
32 196 USC 57% 35 -8
24 197 Baylor 62% 39 -16½
75 198 Iowa State 38% 28 61u
47 199 Michigan State 53% 33 -7
68 200 Indiana 47% 29 54u
14 201 Oklahoma 47% 32 -3½
15 202 TCU 53% 35 68½u
50 203 Missouri 44% 19 49½u
41 204 LSU 56% 24 -13
37 205 San Diego State 71% 37 -20
105 206 South Alabama 29% 19 51½u
100 207 Louisiana-Lafayette 70% 42 -5½
127 208 New Mexico State 30% 24
54 209 Troy 66% 39 -13
103 210 Idaho 34% 25 60½u
126 211 San Jose State 27% 18 55½u
104 212 New Mexico 73% 39 -7½
79 213 Utah State 3% 21 59u
34 214 Boise State 97% 38 -20
36 215 Oregon 32% 30 -1
20 216 Washington State 68% 39 73½u
112 217 Fresno State 35% 29 63u
111 218 UNLV 65% 32 -10
107 219 Nevada 70% 27 -4½
115 220 Hawaii 30% 26
Play our Free College Football Pick ‘Em contests picking game winners and Against The Spread (ATS).college-football-pick-emSee more of our winning information for college football week 5:
college-football-power-rankingscollege-football-picksfootball-fridayGet College Football predictions all season long.

College Football Pick ‘Em – ATS Week 5

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College Football Pick ‘Em – Week 5

Play our free College Football Pick ‘Em!  Can you beat the spread on these College Football games this weekend?  If you do, you win $500!

Make your ATS picks now in our free College Football Pick ‘Em for week 5.  Check every Friday in our Formulator Football Friday column to see the consensus picks in the College Football Pick ‘Em.

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Need help making your College Football picks?  Get winning info from SportsFormulator:

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Make more picks!  Play our Free College Football Pick ‘Em contests picking game winnersGet College Football predictions all season long.

College Football Pick ‘Em Week 5 – Game Winners

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College Football Pick ‘Em – Week 5

Play our free College Football Pick ‘Em!  Do you know how many points will be scored in these college football games this weekend?

Make your picks now in our free college football Pick ‘Em for week 5.  Check every Friday in our Formulator Football Friday column to see the consensus picks in our College Football Pick ‘Em.

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Need help making your college football picks?  Get winning info from SportsFormulator:

college-football-predictionscollege-football-power-rankingscollege-football-picksfootball-fridayGet College Football predictions all season long.

College Football Power Rankings Week 5 – 2016

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We’ve analyzed all 128 college football teams and calculated our college football power rankings for week  of the 2016 season.  We have a new number 1 this week after our previous #1 had the week off.

College Football Power Rankings – Week 5

RANK TEAM CONFERENCE
1 Houston AAC
2 Ohio State B10
3 Wisconsin B10
4 Alabama SEC
5 Florida St ACC
6 Mississippi SEC
7 Louisville ACC
8 Michigan B10
9 Stanford P12
10 Texas A&M SEC
11 Memphis AAC
12 Clemson ACC
13 Virginia Tech ACC
14 Oklahoma B12
15 TCU B12
16 Nebraska B10
17 Miami (FL) ACC
18 Colorado P12
19 Georgia Tech ACC
20 Washington State P12
21 Washington P12
22 Tennessee SEC
23 Duke ACC
24 Baylor B12
25 Toledo MAC
26 BYU Ind
27 West Virginia B12
28 UCLA P12
29 Auburn SEC
30 Central Florida AAC
31 Western Michigan MAC
32 USC P12
33 Utah P12
34 Boise State MWC
35 Kansas St B12
36 Oregon P12
37 San Diego St MWC
38 Wake Forest ACC
39 Texas B12
40 Pittsburgh ACC
41 LSU SEC
42 South Florida AAC
43 NC State ACC
44 Texas Tech B12
45 Appalachian State Sun Belt
46 Air Force MWC
47 Michigan St B10
48 Arizona St P12
49 Notre Dame Ind
50 Missouri SEC
51 Vanderbilt SEC
52 Florida SEC
53 Syracuse ACC
54 Troy Sun Belt
55 North Carolina ACC
56 Navy AAC
57 Oklahoma St B12
58 Southern Miss CUSA
59 Mississippi State SEC
60 Arizona P12
61 Virginia ACC
62 Iowa B10
63 Arkansas SEC
64 Western Kentucky CUSA
65 Northwestern B10
66 Cincinnati AAC
67 Temple AAC
68 Indiana B10
69 Middle Tennessee CUSA
70 Minnesota B10
71 Louisiana Tech CUSA
72 Georgia SEC
73 California P12
74 Maryland B10
75 Iowa State B12
76 Kentucky SEC
77 Akron MAC
78 Ohio MAC
79 Utah State MWC
80 Miami (OH) MAC
81 Connecticut AAC
82 Georgia State Sun Belt
83 Georgia Southern Sun Belt
84 Colorado St MWC
85 Rutgers B10
86 South Carolina SEC
87 Tulsa AAC
88 Marshall CUSA
89 Buffalo MAC
90 Illinois B10
91 Central Michigan MAC
92 Army Ind
93 Oregon St P12
94 Purdue B10
95 Boston College ACC
96 Northern Illinois MAC
97 UMass MAC
98 Penn State B10
99 Arkansas St Sun Belt
100 LA Lafayette Sun Belt
101 Tulane AAC
102 Ball State MAC
103 Idaho Sun Belt
104 New Mexico MWC
105 South Alabama Sun Belt
106 East Carolina AAC
107 Nevada MWC
108 Old Dominion CUSA
109 North Texas CUSA
110 SMU AAC
111 UNLV MWC
112 Fresno St MWC
113 LA Monroe Sun Belt
114 Kent State MAC
115 Hawaii MWC
116 Wyoming MWC
117 Eastern Michigan MAC
118 Florida Atlantic CUSA
119 Rice CUSA
120 UTSA CUSA
121 Kansas B12
122 Texas State Sun Belt
123 Charlotte CUSA
124 UTEP CUSA
125 Florida International CUSA
126 San Jose St MWC
127 New Mexico St Sun Belt
128 Bowling Green MAC

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College Football Line-up for Week 5:

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Play our Free College Football Pick ‘Em contests picking game winners and Against The Spread (ATS).college-football-pick-em
Get College Football predictions all season long.

Formulator Forward – College Football Week 5 2016

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by Matt Fischer

Week 4 Review

College Football Week 4 is over and had some interesting storylines especially in the SEC.

LSU Won…No It Didn’t

An odd ending in Auburn as the hometown Tigers edged LSU 18-13 after LSU scored a touchdown on the final game of the game…only to have it overturned on replay.

A penalty was called with 1 second remaining.  LSU then lined up and snapped the ball without a whistle signaling time had run out on the game.  Only after LSU caught the winning touchdown, did replay intervene to overturn the call on the field.  Horrible ending and one that could end up costing a coach his job.

Mizzou Wins in 50 Minutes

I witnessed a disgrace to college football Saturday.  I was in the stands at Faurot Field to watch Mizzou make school  history beating Delaware State 79-0.   Both teams agreed to play 10 minute quarters at half-time.

That’s absolutely ridiculous to cut a game short.  This isn’t the first time it’s happened, but is what’s wrong with college football.  FBS teams scheduling poor FCS teams that don’t even want to play 60 minutes knowing they don’t have a chance to win.  Why even play the rest of the game?

I commented at halftime when it was announced there would only be 10 minute quarters, that the game should be called since Missouri was winning 58-0.

Missouri didn’t even play great.  Delaware State was just that bad.  They were grossly overmatched.

I’ll have more on this in the coming week with a plan for scheduling for Power 5 teams.

Vandy Tops the Hilltoppers

Western Kentucky was over a touchdown favorite against Vanderbilt on Saturday.  Many saw Vandy getting led to the slaughter but they pulled off a big road win for Derek Mason.  Vandy won 31-30 in OT and pulled Derek Mason from the hot seat as a loss on Saturday.  It had to feel good for Mason, a former D-coordinator, to have his defense stop Western Kentucky to win in OT.

Tennessee Finally Beat Florida

It wasn’t looking good for Butch Jones at halftime Saturday.  His Vols trailed the rival Gators 21-3.  It looked like yet another Tennessee loss to Florida.  However, the Vols stormed back to win and once again become the favorites in the SEC East.  You’ve got to think the momentum from this win will last the Vols until they hit Atlanta at least.

Quick Hits from Week 4

-Friday night, Utah and USC played an outstanding football game.  Back and forth with the Utes getting a late drive where they kept going on fourth down to score the winning TD.

-Ole Miss got a big lead and extended it as they destroyed Georgia 45-14.

-Florida State showed they’re a good team by recovering from last week’s blowout to Louisville with a big win over a good South Florida team.

-Wisconsin looked great dominating Michigan State 30-6 on the road.

-Is Brian Kelly on the hot seat now at Notre Dame?  3 losses already this season and his comment that all 22 positions are open isn’t inspiring confidence for the rest of the season.

-Texas A&M’s defense is much improved this year and they’re contenders…nationally.

-UCLA fans have to be frustrated.  Things were looking good against Stanford and then a fourth quarter collapse.

-Look out for Wake Forest.  They snuck up on Indiana in Bloomington today and are 4-0.

-Scott Frost is getting Central Florida turned around already.

-James Franklin isn’t getting it done at Penn State.  His seat is warming up by the week.

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Looking Forward to Week 5

College Football Week 5 has big conference match-ups across the country from Miami at Georgia Tech to Stanford at Washington.

We’re getting to the point in the season where we find out who the conference contenders are and this week will definitely help sort several of those out.

I really like these match-ups in week 5.  They will have a major impact on the playoff picture.  Losers this week will have a tough time rebounding to make the College Football Playoff.

Here are my predicted point spreads for week 5:

Stanford at Washington (-3.5) on  Friday Night – This really could be a great game.  The Huskies are the best team nobody’s talking about.  At home on a Friday night is going to have the stadium rocking.

Louisville at Clemson (Pick ‘Em) – The over/under on this game needs to be set at 99.  I’d have trouble going under any other number.  These two teams are loaded with playmakers.

Wisconsin at Michigan (-7) – The Badgers made a statement today with a 30-6 win at Michigan State.

Tennessee at Georgia (Pick ‘Em) – Do the Vols suffer a hangover from the big win over the Gators?  That’s the concern going into this game.  Georgia looks to rebound from being destroyed by Ole Miss.  If not for a national tv loss, I’d think Georgia would be a FG favorite in this game.

Oklahoma (-4) at TCU – The Sooners are in a must win situation.  TCU knows they’ll get the Sooners best shot on Saturday and must be prepared.  This one turns into a shootout.

Top 3 SportsFormulator College Football Player of the Year Candidates:

3 – Christian McCaffrey (RB – Stanford) – Good game at UCLA and more importantly won the game.  As long as the Cardinal remain in the playoff picture, McCaffrey gets big games to showcase his skills.

2 – JT Barrett (QB – Ohio State) – The Buckeyes were off this week so Barrett didn’t have a chance to impress further.

1 – Lamar Jackson (QB – Louisville) – not even halfway through the season, he has multiple seven touchdown games.

Check back weekly for our look ahead at the upcoming week of college football, power rankings and predictions here at SportsFormulator.com.