NFL Survivor Pool Picks Week 5 – 2016

We want you to survive your eliminator pool this NFL season so we’re giving our free survivor pool strategy all season. Our picks are based upon our data driven NFL predictions and power rankings.

We’re 3-1 on the season after losing last week’s pick, the San Diego Chargers.  The Chargers collapsed in the second half and lost at home 35-34.  After leading 24-14 at half, they choked away the lead in the second half and had the most horrendous drive of the NFL season to end the game.

Survivor Pool Pick Strategy:

We start with our list of 14 predicted winners for NFL Week 5:

Cardinals (at 49ers)
Vikings (against Texans)
Dolphins (against Titans)
Patriots (at Browns)
Steelers (against Jets)
Ravens (against Redskins)
Eagles (at Lions)
Colts (against Bears)
Broncos (against Falcons)
Bills (at Rams)
Raiders (against Chargers)
Cowboys (against Bengals)
Packers (against Giants)
Panthers (against Bucs)

The Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks and Saints are on bye weeks.

Now there are six steps to easily cut down your potential pick for your week 5 NFL survivor pool.

1 – Toss Out Teams Already Picked

Week 1 – Texans (Winner)
Week 2 – Panthers (Winner)
Week 3 – Packers (Winner)
Week 4 – Chargers (Loser)

After eliminating previously used picks, we cut down from 14 to 12.

2 – Eliminate Toss-Up Winners

First we eliminate toss-up games.  That means we’re cutting the 1 point winners out of the list.  This cuts out the  Cardinals and Raiders.  We have 10 teams remaining.

3 – Eliminate Road Winners

Next we eliminate road teams.  I don’t like taking road teams to win in the NFL at all.  Just too risky when you need a win, go with a home team.

Eliminating predicted road winners, the Patriots, Eagles and Bills are no longer considered.  We have seven teams left.

4 – Eliminate Low Ranking Winners

Next, I look for team that aren’t in our 20 of the power rankings.  This knocks the 24th ranked Colts and 26th ranked Dolphins out of consideration.  Leaving us with five teams.

5 – Eliminate Winners Playing Good Teams

Then, I look for our predicted winners that are playing teams ranked in the top 16 and take them out of consideration.  This eliminates the Cowboys against the 15th ranked Bengals, Broncos against 4th ranked Falcons and Vikings against the 11th ranked Texans.  That leaves us with two potential survivor pool picks for week 5.

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 6 – Final  Survivor Pool Pick Candidates

After using our survivor pool pick strategy, we’re left with only two teams this week, the Steelers and Ravens.  This makes the decision fairly easy.

The Steelers are going against a turnover prone Jets team so we choose them over the Ravens.  Take the Steelers to survive NFL week 5.

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NFL Predictions Week 5 – 2016

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Using our predictive formula we’ve predicted every NFL game on the board in week 5.  We had another profitable week as we were 7-6-2 (54%) ATS last week.

Week 5 features the return of Tom Brady to the Patriots.  He’s back from suspension to make the Browns feel his wrath and couldn’t comeback at a better time as the Patriots were shutout last week.  Cody Kessler has played pretty well for the Browns.  Can he keep them in this game?

Dak Prescott gets his toughest test as Cowboys QB in the Bengals.  A win here and the chorus to keep him the starter when Romo is healthy will get louder.

The Falcons go from a 500+ yards passing last week with a 300+yard receiver to facing the Broncos defense in Denver.  How will Matt Ryan and Julio Jones do in this one?  The Broncos will have a question at QB.  Do they play the rookie Paxton Lynch and let Trevor Siemian sit out a week with his injury?

Can the Jets stop the turnovers?  They’ve been giving the ball away at an alarming rate the past two weeks.

Will Carson Went keep it going coming off his bye week for the Eagles?  He’ll be on the road against the woeful Lions.

The Chiefs, Seahawks, Saints and Jaguars are off this week.

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NFL Predictions – Week 5

thursday night football

October 6, 2016
TEAM WIN% SCORE VEGAS LINE
Cardinals 52% 24 -3
49ers 48% 23 42

October 9, 2016
TEAM WIN% SCORE VEGAS LINE
Texans 34% 14 40
Vikings 66% 21 -5.5
Titans 44% 17 43.5
Dolphins 56% 21 -3.5
Patriots 60% 23 -10
Browns 40% 18 46.5
Jets 31% 19 48.5
Steelers 69% 28 -7
Redskins 38% 20 46.5
Ravens 62% 26 -3.5
Eagles 69% 27 -3
Lions 31% 17 46
Bears 40% 22 47.5
Colts 60% 27 -4.5
Falcons 41% 26 47
Broncos 59% 31 -6
Bills 54% 20 40
Rams 46% 18 -3
Chargers 48% 27 50
Raiders 52% 28 -4
Bengals 38% 18 -1
Cowboys 62% 24 45.5
Giants 39% 19 48
Packers 61% 25 -7

October 10, 2016

TEAM WIN% SCORE VEGAS LINE
Bucs 35% 24
Panthers 65% 31 -6


See more of our winning information for NFL week 5:

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NFL Power Rankings Week 5 – 2016

Using our proprietary formula we rank all 32  teams in our weekly NFL power rankings.  How does your favorite team stack up against the rest of the NFL this week?

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NFL Power Rankings – Week 5

RANK TEAM
1 Philadelphia Eagles
2 Denver Broncos
3 Minnesota Vikings
4 Atlanta Falcons
5 Pittsburgh Steelers
6 Seattle Seahawks
7 Dallas Cowboys
8 New England Patriots
9 Baltimore Ravens
10 Oakland Raiders
11 Houston Texans
12 Los Angeles Rams
13 Buffalo Bills
14 Green Bay Packers
15 Cincinnati Bengals
16 San Diego Chargers
17 Kansas City Chiefs
18 Arizona Cardinals
19 New York Giants
20 Washington Redskins
21 Detroit Lions
22 Carolina Panthers
23 New Orleans Saints
24 Indianapolis Colts
25 San Francisco 49ers
26 Miami Dolphins
27 Tennessee Titans
28 New York Jets
29 Jacksonville Jaguars
30 Chicago Bears
31 Tampa Bay Buccaneers
32 Cleveland Browns


See more of our winning information for NFL week 5:

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Play our Free NFL Pick ‘Em contests picking games Against the Spread or just pick game winners weekly.nfl-pick-emGet NFL predictions all season long from SportsFormulator.

NFL Pick ‘Em – ATS Week 5

NFL Pick ‘Em – Week 5

Play our free NFL Pick ‘Em!  Can you beat the spread on every NFL game this weekend?  If you do, you win $500!

Make your ATS picks now in our free NFL Pick ‘Em for week 5.  Check every Friday in our Formulator Football Friday column to see the consensus picks in the NFL Pick ‘Em.

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Need help making your NFL picks?  Get winning info from SportsFormulator:

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Get NFL predictions all season long from SportsFormulator.

NFL Pick ‘Em – Game Winners Week 5

NFL Pick ‘Em – Week 5

Who wins this weekend?  Play our free NFL Pick ‘Em for week 5!  Pick who wins in our free NFL Pick ‘Em for week 5  including Bengals at Cowboys, Falcons at Broncos, Giants at Packers, Texans at Vikings and more.

Pick who wins and if you’re correct, you receive the corresponding number of points (the lower the score, the bigger the favorite that team is to win).  The person with the highest total of points wins $100 to our Pick Shop!

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Need help making your NFL picks?  Get winning info from SportsFormulator:

nfl-predictionsnfl-power-rankingsfantasy-football-rankingsnfl-survivor-pool-picksfootball-fridaynfl-picksPlay our Free NFL Pick ‘Em contest picking against the spread on every NFL game.

Get NFL predictions all season long from SportsFormulator.