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The Lightning rallied late in game 5 to tie the game at 3 and then won in OT to take a 3-2 series lead home to Tampa Bay as they will try to eliminate the Penguins in game 6.
Data Driven NHL Playoff Predictions for May 24, 2016:
| TEAM | WIN % | SCORE | Vegas Odds | Total |
| Penguins | 49% | 3 | -135 | 5.5 |
| Lightning | 51% | 4 | +115 |
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