This edition of Formulator Focus is for the week 9 Big 12 college football showdown between the Oklahoma State Cowboys and West Virginia Mountaineers. We breakdown this game and give you a free pick.
This is a loser leaves town game for the Big 12 Championship game. The winner hangs in contention for a spot in the title game. Kickoff is Noon ET on Saturday and is broadcast on ABC.
Oklahoma State at West Virginia Preview
Oklahoma State enters this game 6-1 having won three straight after losing to TCU. They won last Saturday by 3 in OT at Texas.
West Virginia is 5-2 this season having won 2 straight including a 38-36 win on Saturday at Baylor.
The Vegas line on this game is Oklahoma State -7.5 with a total of 74.5.
Now let’s look at the numbers for this match-up.
Oklahoma State Offense vs. West Virginia Defense
Oklahoma State Offense | VS | West Virginia Defense | |
Points For | 43.7 | Points Against | 31.2 |
Passing Yards For | 392.7 | Pass Yards Against | 281.5 |
Rush Yards | 197.4 | Rush Yards Ag | 205 |
Third Down Conversion % | 49.45% | Third Down Conversion % Allowed | 34.04% |
Red Zone Coversion % | 81.58% | Red Zone Conversion % Allowed | 79.17% |
West Virginia Offense vs. Oklahoma State Defense
West Virginia Offense | VS | Oklahoma State Defense | |
Points For | 40.7 | Points Against | 22.3 |
Passing Yards For | 369 | Pass Yards Against | 225.3 |
Rush Yards | 171.5 | Rush Yards Ag | 134.4 |
Third Down Conversion % | 37.50% | Third Down Conversion % Allowed | 41.03% |
Red Zone Coversion % | 88% | Red Zone Conversion % Allowed | 80.77% |
Game Changers – Oklahoma State vs. West Virginia
Oklahoma State | West Virginia | |
Turnover Margin Per Game | 0 | 0.2 |
Penalties Per Game | 45.9 | 71.7 |
Opp Penalties Per Game | 48 | 68.3 |
Final Analysis – This is a big game for both teams and they could be tense. In Big 12 play, West Virginia has averaged 77.5 points per game while Oklahoma State has averaged 62. 74.5 is a large number for this total. Count on the defenses to make a few stops in this game.
SportsFormulator has been correct on the Totals 5 of 7 (71%) times for Oklahoma State games but only 2 of 6 (33%) on West Virginia games. We’ve been 4-0 on the Total in Oklahoma State’s road games.
Free Pick for Oklahoma State at West Virginia – Take the Under 74.5
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