How to Bet USC at Arizona State – October 28, 2017

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This edition of Formulator Focus is for the week 9 Pac-12 college football battle between the Arizona State Sun Devils and USC Trojans.

The winner here becomes the favorite to represent the Pac-12 South in the conference championship game.  The game kicks off at 10:45 ET Saturday night and can be seen on ESPN.

USC at Arizona State Preview

USC comes in off of a 49-14 loss in primetime at Notre Dame last Saturday.  The Trojans are 6-2 overall but have lost their last two road games.  They are ranked 27th in our power rankings this week.

Arizona State enters the game having won two straight including a 13-7 upset of Washington and 30-10 win at Utah last week.  The Sun Devils are 4-3 on the season and ranked 39th in our power rankings this week.

The Vegas line has USC -3 with a total of 57.5 points.

Now let’s look at the numbers for this match-up.

USC Offense vs. Arizona State Defense

USC Offense VS Arizona State Defense
Points For 31.9 Points Against 28.4
Passing Yards For 291.9 Pass Yards Against 251.7
Rush Yards 167.5 Rush Yards Ag 164.4
Third Down Conversion % 44.86% Third Down Conversion % Allowed 40%
Red Zone Coversion % 78.57% Red Zone Conversion % Allowed 91.30%

USC Offense vs. Arizona State Defense

Arizona State Offense VS USC Defense
Points For 29.4 Points Against 26.9
Passing Yards For 267.4 Pass Yards Against 223.9
Rush Yards 127.4 Rush Yards Ag 175.5
Third Down Conversion % 41.74% Third Down Conversion % Allowed 36.89%
Red Zone Coversion % 100% Red Zone Conversion % Allowed 68.97%

Game Changers – USC vs. Arizona State

USC Arizona State
Turnover Margin Per Game -0.4 0.4
Penalties Per Game 60.9 31
Opp Penalties Per Game 50.6 66.1
Final Analysis

The Formula has been great against the spread in games involving these two teams.  In 15 combined games in 2017, we have accurately predicted the ATS winner in 13 (87%) of those games.  We’ve predicted the correct winner of each USC game this season.  We have predicted USC to win by 5 in this game.  Let’s ride with the Trojans this week.

Free Pick for USC at Arizona State – USC -3 

 

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