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NFL Survivor Pool Pick Strategy
There are simple steps to cut down your potential picks for your NFL survivor pool. Follow the strategy below to make your week 12 NFL Survivor Pool pick.
Finished 2018 with 5 straight wins and off to a 9-2 start in 2019 as we won last week backing the Oakland Raiders against the awful Cincinnati Bengals.
We have 14 games in NFL week 12 so that’s our list to start. We use our predicted NFL winners.
Eliminate Toss-Up Winners
First, I eliminate toss-up games. That means I’m scratching the 1 point winners out of the list.
The Philadelphia Eagles are predicted 1 point winners this week so they’re out. We’re down to 13 teams for our week 12 NFL Survivor Pool Pick.
Eliminate Road Winners
Then I eliminate road teams. When you need a guaranteed win like you do to win your survivor pool, go with a home team.
Three predicted road winners in week 12 so we’re slicing our list to 10 remaining candidates for our NFL Survivor Pool Pick this week. Gone are the Oakland Raiders, Detroit Lions and Pittsburgh Steelers.
Eliminate Low Ranking Winners
Next, I look for teams that aren’t in our top 20 of the power rankings.
This knocks out two teams from consideration for our week 12 NFL survivor pool pick as the Atlanta Falcons and Cleveland Browns are ranked too low for consideration. We’re down to 8 teams.
Eliminate Winners Playing Good Teams
Finally, I look for our predicted winners that are playing teams ranked in the top 16 of our data driven NFL power rankings and take them out of consideration.
This eliminates the Baltimore Ravens, Houston Texans, New Orleans Saints, New England Patriots and San Francisco 49ers.
We have 3 teams to consider for our week 12 NFL survivor pool pick.
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Final Week 12 NFL Survivor Pool Pick Candidates
Surviving the NFL week 12 cut are:
- Buffalo Bills
- Chicago Bears
- Tennessee Titans
I then compare this list against who I’ve already used this season. That list includes Seahawks, Ravens, Cowboys, Colts, Eagles, Patriots, Bills, Vikings, Saints and Raiders.
3 – Tennessee Titans – A divisional game against the Jags so I’m going elsewhere with this week’s NFL pick.
2 – Buffalo Bills – The Bills are right there in the playoff hunt and can’t afford a loss at home. They’re better than the Broncos. They would be a safe play this week but…
1 – Chicago Bears – I’m feeling risky this week and going to take the Bears. The offense was putrid Sunday night in LA. Honestly I think this game is for Matt Nagy’s job. If he loses to the lowly Giants, he could be gone Monday morning. The Bears come to play Sunday and win.
Week 12 NFL Survivor Pool Pick: Chicago Bears
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