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NFL Survivor Pool Pick Strategy
There are simple steps to cut down your potential picks for your NFL survivor pool. Follow the strategy below to make your week 4 NFL Survivor Pool pick.
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Eliminate Teams Already Used
First, I eliminate the team I’ve already used. The Seahawks (week 1), Ravens (week 2) and Cowboys (week 3). The Seahawks and Ravens are predicted winners this week so we start with 13 teams.
The Jets and 49ers are on a bye this week.
Eliminate Toss-Up Winners
First, I eliminate toss-up games. That means I’m scratching the 1 point winners out of the list.
Two teams are 1 point winners this week so we’re eliminating the Atlanta Falcons and Green Bay Packers. We’re down to 11 teams for our week 4 NFL Survivor Pool Pick.
Eliminate Road Winners
Next I eliminate road teams. When you need a guaranteed win like you do to win your survivor pool, go with a home team.
Three predicted road winners in week 4 so we’re making another big cut to our list of remaining candidates for our NFL Survivor Pool Pick this week. Gone are the Kansas City Chiefs, Los Angeles Chargers and New England Patriots.
We have eight teams remaining.
Eliminate Low Ranking Winners
Then I look for teams that aren’t in our top 20 of the power rankings.
This knocks out 1 team, the New York Giants, from consideration for our week 4 NFL survivor pool pick. Sorry Daniel Jones.
Seven teams remain.
Eliminate Winners Playing Good Teams
Finally, I look for our predicted winners that are playing teams ranked in the top 16 of our data driven NFL power rankings and take them out of consideration.
This eliminates the Chicago Bears who host the Minnesota Vikings, Houston Texans against the Carolina Panthers and the New Orleans Saints versus the Dallas Cowboys on Sunday Night Football.
We have four teams to consider for our week 4 NFL survivor pool pick.
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Final Week NFL Survivor Pool Pick Candidates
Surviving the week 4 NFL cut are:
- Indianapolis Colts
- Los Angeles Rams
- Denver Broncos
- Pittsburgh Steelers
Once, I’ve cut the teams down and have my final candidates for my NFL survivor pool pick, I rank them.
4 – Pittsburgh Steelers (against Cincinnati Bengals) – I stay away from divisional games. With four other candidates, I’m passing on the Steelers this week.
3 – Denver Broncos (against Jacksonville Jaguars) – Denver isn’t very good. They barely made the cut as they’re #20 in our power rankings. Does the Minshew Magic continue in Denver for week 4? I’m staying away from the Broncos in week 4.
2 – Los Angeles Rams (against Tampa Bay Bucs) – This was a tough call between the Rams and Colts. The Bucs are better than the Raiders and with the Rams coming off a big win on Sunday Night Football in Cleveland this could be a letdown. I still have great confidence in the Rams this week though.
1 – Indianapolis Colts (against Oakland Raiders) – The Raiders have lost the past two weeks by 20 or more. They’ve struggled to score points and going back on the road this week gives me confidence to pick against them.
Week 4 NFL Survivor Pool Pick: Indianapolis Colts
More NFL Info:
- NFL Pick ‘Em and Confidence Pool Picks
- NFL ATS Pick Contest
- NFL Predictions
- NFL Power Rankings
- Bet NFL Now
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