by Matt Fischer
NFL Survivor Pool Picks
All hail the Jaguars! Thank you Jags for winning and ending my three week losing streak to start this NFL Survivor season.
I want you to survive your eliminator pool this NFL season so I’m giving you my free survivor pool strategy all season. After 15-2 last season, it’s a 1-3 start this season. I’m going to build on the momentum of getting that winner last week! My survivor pool picks are based upon our data driven NFL predictions and power rankings.
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Survivor Pool Pick Strategy:
There are easy steps to cut down your potential pick for your NFL survivor pool. Follow the strategy below to make week 4 NFL Survivor Pool pick. The Bears and Bucs have a bye week.
Eliminate the Teams Already Picked in 2018
We eliminate the four teams I’ve already picked including the Lions (week 1), Redskins (week 2), Vikings (week 3) and Jaguars (week 4). The Lions and Jaguars are predicted winners so they’re out for this week. We have thirteen teams to consider for week 5.
Eliminate Toss-Up Winners
Next, I eliminate toss-up games. That means we’re cutting the 1 point winners out of the list. No 1 point games to consider here so we’re still at 13 teams for our week 5 NFL Survivor Pool Pick.
Eliminate Road Winners
Then we eliminate road teams. I don’t like taking road teams to win in the NFL at all. Just too risky when you need a win, go with a home team.
Eliminating predicted road winners, the Ravens, Titans, Rams and Cowboys are predicted road winners so they’re out of contention for our NFL Survivor Pool Pick for week 5. Nine teams remain.
Eliminate Low Ranking Winners
Next, I look for teams that aren’t in our 20 of the power rankings. This eliminates three teams, the Steelers, Jets and 49ers. Six teams are left to consider for my week 5 NFL Survivor Pool Pick.
Eliminate Winners Playing Good Teams
Then, I look for our predicted winners that are playing teams ranked in the top 16 and take them out of consideration. This eliminates Bengals (against #10 Dolphins) and Saints (against #9 Redskins). We’re down to our final four week 5 NFL Survivor Pool Picks.
Final Survivor Pool Pick Candidates
We have some options this week as we have four teams that made it through the screening criteria. I’ll rank them in order of confidence and make my NFL week 5 survivor pool pick.
4 – Chargers – The Chargers have been out of sync this season and playing a divisional foe, I’m not too confident in them.
3 – Eagles – The Eagles are coming off a loss so they should be focused. The Vikings have floundered this season but have to be ready for this one seeking revenge for the drubbing they took in Philly during the NFC Championship Game.
2 – Patriots – The Pats steamrolled the Dolphins on Sunday but with the quick turnaround against a divisional opponent Dolphins, I’m staying away.
1- Panthers – Carolina has had a week off and is at home against a Giants team that’s just not very good. I’ll take Cam Newton to have a good game Sunday and win. Take the Carolina Panthers to survive NFL Week 5.
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