SportsFormulator NFL

2026 NFL
Power Rankings

Data-driven NFL power rankings built from team performance, scoring efficiency, strength of schedule and recent form. Updated weekly throughout the season.

Data-Driven Rankings Updated Weekly Strength of Schedule Included
Data-Driven Rankings are based on performance metrics rather than reputation.
Strength of Schedule Every result is evaluated in the context of opponent quality.
Updated Weekly Rankings adjust as each new week of NFL data becomes available.
Independent Analysis Sports analytics and forecasting from SportsFormulator since 2012.
The Formulator Four

The NFL’s Top Four Teams

The four strongest teams in the current SportsFormulator rankings, based on results, scoring performance and schedule-adjusted data.

#1

Kansas City Chiefs

AFC West
Record: 0–0
SOS: #1 Previous: #1 Trend: Even
#2

Philadelphia Eagles

NFC East
Record: 0–0
SOS: #2 Previous: #2 Trend: Even
#3

Buffalo Bills

AFC East
Record: 0–0
SOS: #3 Previous: #3 Trend: Even
#4

Baltimore Ravens

AFC North
Record: 0–0
SOS: #4 Previous: #4 Trend: Even
Complete Rankings

NFL Power Rankings

All 32 teams ranked using data-driven performance analysis. Strength of schedule is listed as an ordinal rank, with No. 1 representing the most difficult schedule.

Rank Team Record SOS Previous Change
1 Kansas City ChiefsAFC West 0–0 #1 1
2 Philadelphia EaglesNFC East 0–0 #2 2
3 Buffalo BillsAFC East 0–0 #3 3
4 Baltimore RavensAFC North 0–0 #4 4
5 Detroit LionsNFC North 0–0 #5 6 ▲ 1
6 Green Bay PackersNFC North 0–0 #6 5 ▼ 1
7 San Francisco 49ersNFC West 0–0 #7 7
8 Cincinnati BengalsAFC North 0–0 #8 9 ▲ 1
9 Los Angeles RamsNFC West 0–0 #9 8 ▼ 1
10 Houston TexansAFC South 0–0 #10 10
11 Washington CommandersNFC East 0–0 #11 11
12 Los Angeles ChargersAFC West 0–0 #12 13 ▲ 1
13 Minnesota VikingsNFC North 0–0 #13 12 ▼ 1
14 Denver BroncosAFC West 0–0 #14 16 ▲ 2
15 Tampa Bay BuccaneersNFC South 0–0 #15 14 ▼ 1
16 Pittsburgh SteelersAFC North 0–0 #16 15 ▼ 1
17 Miami DolphinsAFC East 0–0 #17 17
18 Seattle SeahawksNFC West 0–0 #18 18
19 Chicago BearsNFC North 0–0 #19 21 ▲ 2
20 Arizona CardinalsNFC West 0–0 #20 19 ▼ 1
21 Dallas CowboysNFC East 0–0 #21 20 ▼ 1
22 Jacksonville JaguarsAFC South 0–0 #22 24 ▲ 2
23 Atlanta FalconsNFC South 0–0 #23 22 ▼ 1
24 Indianapolis ColtsAFC South 0–0 #24 23 ▼ 1
25 New England PatriotsAFC East 0–0 #25 25
26 Las Vegas RaidersAFC West 0–0 #26 26
27 New Orleans SaintsNFC South 0–0 #27 27
28 Carolina PanthersNFC South 0–0 #28 28
29 New York JetsAFC East 0–0 #29 29
30 New York GiantsNFC East 0–0 #30 30
31 Tennessee TitansAFC South 0–0 #31 31
32 Cleveland BrownsAFC North 0–0 #32 32
Formulator Forecast

Projected NFL Playoff Field

Data-driven projections for the seven AFC and seven NFC playoff teams, including projected records and playoff probabilities.

AFC

Projected Seeds
1
Kansas City Chiefs AFC West Leader
Current 0–0
Projected 13–4
96%
2
Buffalo Bills AFC East Leader
Current0–0
Projected12–5
93%
3
Baltimore Ravens AFC North Leader
Current0–0
Projected12–5
91%
4
Houston Texans AFC South Leader
Current0–0
Projected10–7
75%
5
Cincinnati Bengals Wild Card
Current0–0
Projected11–6
81%
6
Los Angeles Chargers Wild Card
Current0–0
Projected10–7
68%
7
Denver Broncos Wild Card
Current0–0
Projected9–8
54%

NFC

Projected Seeds
1
Philadelphia Eagles NFC East Leader
Current0–0
Projected13–4
95%
2
Detroit Lions NFC North Leader
Current0–0
Projected12–5
90%
3
San Francisco 49ers NFC West Leader
Current0–0
Projected11–6
84%
4
Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFC South Leader
Current0–0
Projected9–8
62%
5
Green Bay Packers Wild Card
Current0–0
Projected11–6
82%
6
Los Angeles Rams Wild Card
Current0–0
Projected10–7
70%
7
Washington Commanders Wild Card
Current0–0
Projected9–8
57%

In the Hunt

Miami Dolphins 46% Playoff Odds
Pittsburgh Steelers 43% Playoff Odds
Minnesota Vikings 41% Playoff Odds
Seattle Seahawks 38% Playoff Odds
Weekly Movement

Fast Risers and Falling Fast

The biggest upward and downward movements in this week’s data-driven NFL rankings.

Fast Risers

Denver Broncos Improved scoring efficiency and schedule-adjusted results
▲ 4
Green Bay Packers Strong recent performance against quality opponents
▲ 3
Chicago Bears Offensive improvement supported by underlying data
▲ 2
Jacksonville Jaguars Better results against a difficult recent schedule
▲ 2

Falling Fast

Miami Dolphins Recent results failed to match earlier efficiency
▼ 4
Dallas Cowboys Declining scoring margin against manageable competition
▼ 3
New Orleans Saints Weak schedule-adjusted offensive performance
▼ 2
Indianapolis Colts Performance dropped as schedule difficulty increased
▼ 2
Formulator Says

The record only tells part of the story.

SportsFormulator follows the data—not reputation, preseason expectations or media momentum. NFL teams are evaluated through scoring performance, results, recent form and the quality of their competition. Strong records built against weak schedules are treated differently than comparable records earned against elite opponents.

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