SportsFormulator WNBA

2026 WNBA Power Rankings

Data-driven WNBA power rankings built from scoring efficiency, point differential, strength of schedule and recent form. Updated weekly throughout the season.

Data-Driven Rankings Updated Weekly Strength of Schedule Included
Data-Driven Rankings are based on performance rather than reputation.
Schedule Adjusted Results are evaluated against the quality of competition.
Updated Weekly Rankings respond quickly to form, injuries and rotation changes.
Independent Analysis Sports analytics and forecasting from SportsFormulator since 2012.
The Formulator Four

The WNBA’s Four Best Teams

The four highest-ranked teams in the SportsFormulator WNBA Power Rankings and the current leading championship contenders.

#1

Las Vegas

Record: 22–5
SOS: #4 Previous: #1 Net: +10.8
Championship Contender
#2

Minnesota

Record: 21–6
SOS: #7 Previous: #2 Net: +9.7
Championship Contender
#3

New York

Record: 20–7
SOS: #6 Previous: #4 Net: +8.5
Championship Contender
#4

Phoenix

Record: 18–9
SOS: #3 Previous: #3 Net: +6.9
Championship Contender
Complete Rankings

WNBA Power Rankings

All 15 teams ranked using schedule-adjusted point differential, offensive and defensive efficiency, strength of schedule, results and recent form.

Rank Team Record Net Rating SOS Previous Change
1 Las Vegas AcesChampionship contender 22–5 +10.8 #4 1
2 Minnesota LynxChampionship contender 21–6 +9.7 #7 2
3 New York LibertyChampionship contender 20–7 +8.5 #6 4 ▲ 1
4 Phoenix MercuryChampionship contender 18–9 +6.9 #3 3 ▼ 1
5 Indiana FeverPlayoff position 17–10 +5.4 #8 6 ▲ 1
6 Atlanta DreamPlayoff position 16–11 +4.2 #9 5 ▼ 1
7 Seattle StormPlayoff position 15–12 +2.8 #5 7
8 Golden State ValkyriesLast team in 14–13 +1.3 #10 9 ▲ 1
9 Los Angeles SparksFirst team out 13–14 +0.4 #2 8 ▼ 1
10 Dallas WingsPlayoff chase 12–15 −1.2 #1 11 ▲ 1
11 Washington MysticsPlayoff chase 11–16 −2.6 #12 10 ▼ 1
12 Toronto TempoExpansion season 10–17 −3.8 #11 13 ▲ 1
13 Chicago SkyDevelopment season 9–18 −4.9 #13 12 ▼ 1
14 Connecticut SunRebuilding 7–20 −6.4 #15 14
15 Portland FireExpansion season 6–21 −7.6 #14 15
Formulator Forecast

Projected WNBA Playoff Field

Projected playoff seeds and postseason probabilities based on current team strength, remaining schedule and recent performance.

Projected Seeds

WNBA Playoff Picture

1
Las Vegas Current: 22–5
36–8
99%
2
Minnesota Current: 21–6
34–10
99%
3
New York Current: 20–7
33–11
99%
4
Phoenix Current: 18–9
30–14
98%
5
Indiana Current: 17–10
28–16
94%
6
Atlanta Current: 16–11
26–18
89%
7
Seattle Current: 15–12
24–20
78%
8
Golden State Current: 14–13
23–21
57%

The Playoff Cut Line

The teams closest to earning or losing the final postseason spot.

Last Team In
Golden State 57%
First Team Out
Los Angeles 49%
Still Alive
Dallas 34%
Needs a Run
Washington 21%

Championship Odds

Las Vegas 29%
Minnesota 23%
New York 19%
Phoenix 12%
Indiana 8%
Team Momentum

Who’s Hot and Who’s Cooling Off?

A snapshot of each team’s direction based on recent results, scoring efficiency and performance over the last 10 games.

🔥 Heating Up

Teams playing above their full-season level.

Indiana 8–2
New York 8–2
Golden State 7–3
Dallas 6–4

➡️ Holding Steady

Teams performing close to their established level.

Las Vegas 7–3
Minnesota 7–3
Phoenix 6–4
Seattle 5–5

❄️ Cooling Off

Teams trending below their full-season performance.

Los Angeles 3–7
Washington 3–7
Chicago 2–8
Connecticut 2–8
Weekly Movement

Fast Risers and Falling Fast

The biggest upward and downward movements in this week’s rankings.

Fast Risers

Indiana Elite recent offensive efficiency
▲ 3
Golden State Defense has improved during a strong stretch
▲ 2
Dallas Recent results have strengthened the playoff outlook
▲ 2
Toronto Expansion team showing measurable improvement
▲ 1

Falling Fast

Los Angeles Recent defensive decline has hurt playoff odds
▼ 3
Washington Offensive production has fallen during a difficult run
▼ 2
Chicago Recent losses have widened the efficiency gap
▼ 2
Connecticut Struggling to generate consistent scoring
▼ 1
Formulator Says

In a shorter season, every result carries more weight.

The WNBA schedule gives teams less time to recover from extended slumps or slow starts. SportsFormulator evaluates scoring efficiency, defensive efficiency, strength of schedule and recent performance to identify which teams are truly improving and which records may be misleading.

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