Answers to your 2016 NCAA Tournament Bracket Questions


You’re sitting there with a sheet that has 68 teams bracketed out trying to decide which team to right on each line.  Well we’ve got some answers to help you make your way through your 2016 NCAA Tournament Bracket.

Which #1 goes down first?

According to our data, Oregon will be the first #1 to go down.  It could happen as early as round 2 against the winner of Cincinnati vs. St. Joseph’s as the Ducks only have a 52% chance of advancing past that game.  We see them eventually being knocked out of the tournament in the Sweet 16 by fourth seeded Duke.

Who has the best potential for the 12 beats 5 first round upset? 

Yale over Baylor is our closest predicted upset with a 44% chance to win.  We’re not calling for any 5 seeds to get eliminated in round 1.

What are some likely first round upsets?

We’ll call it an upset if the lower seed team wins.  The formula predicts seven first round upsets.

Connecticut over Colorado – 56%

Cincinnati over St. Joseph’s – 55%

Butler over Texas Tech – 55%

VCU over Oregon State – 54%

Gonzaga over Seton Hall – 52%

Pittsburgh over Wisconsin – 52%

Syracuse over Dayton – 52%

Who are the potential Cinderellas in this year’s Big Dance?

Gonzaga has a great bracket.  They draw Seton Hall in round 1 and then the Utah vs. Fresno State winner after that.  We call for the 11 seed Bulldogs to upset Seton Hall and then advance to the Sweet 16.

Iowa as a 7 seed holds two wins over Michigan State.  An early exit in the Big Ten tournament hurt their seeding.  When the Hawkeyes are hot, they can take down anyone.  With a potential second round match-up against a shaky Villanova team, they could be playing into the second weekend.

Who are the most overseeded/underseeded teams in the tournament?

Overseeded teams include Xavier, Oregon and Utah.  Look for the teams to go out earlier than expected.

Underseeded teams include Purdue, Iowa and Gonzaga.  All have potential to make deep runs in the tournament.

We accurately predicted 72% of college basketball games this season.  See more NCAA Tournament info including our predicted bracket in our Bracket Dominator!

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