Fell to 7-2 last week as the Vikings lost in OT to the Lions. They were the only team to make it through our survivor pool pick strategy. In week 10, we have options!
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2016 Survivor Pick Results
Week 1 – Texans (Win)
Week 2 – Panthers (Win)
Week 3 – Packers (Win)
Week 4 – Chargers (Loss)
Week 5 – Steelers (Win)
Week 6 – Bills (Win)
Week 7 – Chiefs (Win)
Week 8 – Broncos (Win)
Week 9 – Vikings (Loss)
Survivor Pool Pick Strategy:
We start with our list of 14 predicted winners:
Ravens over Browns
Jaguars over Texans
Panthers over Chiefs
Broncos over Saints
Jets over Rams
Eagles over Falcons
Redskins over Vikings
Titans over Packers
Bucs over Bears
Chargers over Dolphins
Cardinals over 49ers
Cowboys over Steelers
Patriots over Seahawks
Giants over Bengals
Now there are four steps to easily cut down your potential pick for your NFL survivor pool.
Eliminate Toss-Up Winners
First we eliminate toss-up games. That means we’re cutting the 1 point winners out of the list. Gone are the Jaguars, Panthers, Broncos, Jets, Redskins and Titans. We have 8 teams remaining.
Eliminate Road Winners
Next we eliminate road teams. I don’t like taking road teams to win in the NFL at all. Just too risky when you need a win, go with a home team.
Eliminating predicted road winners, only the Cowboys are removed from consideration leaving us with seven teams to consider.
Eliminate Low Ranking Winners
Next, I look for team that aren’t in our 20 of the power rankings. Gone are the Bucs. Six team remain under consideration for this week’s NFL Survivor pool pick.
Eliminate Winners Playing Good Teams
Then, I look for our predicted winners that are playing teams ranked in the top 16 and take them out of consideration. This eliminates the Eagles and Patriots. Four teams are left.
Eliminate the Teams We’ve Already Picked in 2016
Of our four team remaining, we’ve used the Chargers already so they’re out. We have three final candidates for our week 10 NFL Survivor Pool pick, the Ravens, Cardinals and Bengals.
Final Survivor Pool Pick Candidates
3) Ravens (at Browns) – The Browns are awful. They have yet to win and haven’t been competitive much of the season losing by nearly 12 points a game on average. This is a Thursday night game and the Ravens are on the road and make them this week’s least confident pick.
2) Giants (against Bengals) – When will the Bengals get it together? They’ve been inconsistent all season. The Giants are looking like a potential playoff team. My feeling is the Bengals make this game competitive and our other option this week is clearly better than this one.
1) Cardinals (against 49ers) – The 49ers are terrible and on the road. The Cardinals will cruise to a win in the desert. Take the Arizona Cardinals to survive NFL week 10.