2013 NFL Mock Draft: How the First Round Should Go

 

We’re just one week away from the 2013 NFL Draft!  Instead of telling you what I think teams will do in the draft, I give you how it should go.  I identify the teams need and find the best fit for it.  Take this to your draft room GM’s so you don’t botch the draft for your franchise.

1.  Kansas City Chiefs – The Chiefs have talent at the skills positions.  They just made the trade for QB Alex Smith and need to protect him.  After cutting Eric Winston and leaving Brandon Albert twisting in the wind this offseason, they’re best addressing the offensive line.

Pick:  Luke Joekel (OT – Texas A&M)

2.  Jacksonville Jaguars – They need a lot of help.  They play in a division with Andrew Luck and Matt Schaub.  Their top priorities should be pass rush and secondary.  Taking a cornerback here who can matchup with Andre Johnson would be a big step in the right direction.

Pick:  Dee Miliner (CB – Alabama)

3.  Oakland Raiders –  The Raiders need help in several areas.  Their aging defensive line needs to be addressed and that’s what they’ll focus on with their first pick

Pick:  Shariff Floyd (DT – Florida)

4.  Philadelphia Eagles –  I think the Eagles will trade this pick.  Chip Kelly is bringing in a new system and will want to get his type of guys and there’s no better way than to trade down and stockpile picks.  If they stay here, I think they look on the defensive side of the ball and a guy Kelly is familiar with from his days in Eugene.

Pick:  Dion Jordan (OLB – Oregon)

5.  Detroit Lions – The Lions have talent at the skill positions but need to bulk up the O-line.  With an in-state prospect sitting there, they’ll jump at getting a guy to protect Matthew Stafford’s blindside for the rest of his career.

Pick:  Eric Fisher (OT – Central Michigan)

6.  Cleveland Browns –  The Browns have many holes on a young roster.  They’re in a brutal division and need toughness in the trenches for those six games a year.

Pick:  Ziggy Ansah (DE – BYU)

7.  Arizona Cardinals –  Bruce Arians is at the controls of the Cardinals and will look to protect his QB.  I think they take the best prospect in this draft.

Pick:  Chance Warmack (OG – Alabama)

8.  Buffalo Bills –  The Bills also have a new coach in Doug Marrone and need help in many spots.  There’s talk of them taking a QB but there isn’t one worth of taking this high.  I think they’re a prime candidate to also trade down.  They make a pretty safe selection if they stay here.

Pick:  Jonathan Cooper (OG – North Carolina)

9.  New York Jets –  The Jets have been spending first rounders on defensive players of late.  They must address their horrendous offense.  Rex Ryan likes to run the ball and a great back would take a lot of the shoulders of Mark Sanchez.

Pick:  Eddie Lacy (RB – Alabama)

10.  Tennessee Titans –  Titans need to upgrade their pass rush and coverage.  I think they’ll look to the D-line and go with a guy who falls a few spots to them.

Pick:  Star Lotulelei (DT – Utah)

11.  San Diego Chargers –  The Chargers need help on the O-line and will find a guy ready to start day 1 in the NFL.

Pick:  Lane Johnson (OT – Oklahoma)

12.  Miami Dolphins –  The Dolphins would like to see Lane Johnson here but if not they’ll address the defense.  Rumors have them picking up Branden Albert from the Chiefs for a second round pick so that softens the blow.  Nothing they’ve got to still matchup with Tom Brady for a few more seasons has them looking to bolster their past defense.  I think they’ll take their chances on the boom or bust prospect.

Pick:  Xavier Rhodes (CB – Florida State)

13.  Tampa Bay Buccaneers –  This pick could turn into Darrelle Revis for the Bucs.  I think they should look at the offense though if they hold onto this pick.  I think they should look at adding a target for Josh Freeman.

Pick:  Tyler Eifert (TE – Notre Dame)

14.  Carolina Panthers – Interesting spot here.  The Panthers are in a tough division and need to get a difference maker here.  They need them on both sides of the ball.  Do they look for a receiver to help out Cam Newton or a defender?  I think the best players available are on the defensive side at this point.

Pick:  Sheldon Richardson (DT – Missouri)

15.  New Orleans Saints –  Sean Payton is back at the helm in the Big Easy.  They’re looking to make one last run at a Super Bowl and need to get impact players in the draft.  I think they look to the defensive side of the ball and get a freak athlete from the Bayou Bengals.

Pick:  Barkevious Mingo (DE – LSU)

16.  St. Louis Rams –  St. Louis desperately needs targets for Sam Bradford.  They’ll gladly grab one here.

Pick:  Tavon Austin (WR – West Virginia)

17.  Pittsburgh Steelers –  Pittsburgh has to be pumped if the draft unfolds as I have said it should through the first 16 picks.  It leaves a perfect fit for their scheme on the board and they’ll rush to the podium.

Pick:  Jarvis Jones (OLB – Georgia)

18.  Dallas Cowboys –  They need O-line help still.  I think the Cowboys have to address it with a first round pick this year if they’re serious about making the playoffs.  They grab a mountain of a man.

Pick:  D.J. Fluker (OT – Alabama)

19.  New York Giants –  Losing Osi gives them a hole to fill on the defensive line and there are several prospects available here.  They could use help on the offensive line also.  The Victor Cruz contract situation could have them looking at a receiver also.  They need to stick with what’s gotten them to Super Bowls…pass rush.

Pick:  Tank Carradine (DE – Florida State)

20.  Chicago Bears –  The Bears have to get Jay Cutler help in this draft.  It needs to be at either receiver or offensive line.  I think if they want to go with the offensive line, they should trade down.  If they stay here, I think they take the best available.

Pick:  Menelik Watson (OT – Florida State)

21.  Cincinnati Bengals – The Bengals are right there ready to win the division and a playoff games this upcoming season.  An impact player here could be what puts them over the top.  They get a guy who starts day 1 and makes plays for Marvin Lewis on defense.

Pick:  Alec Ogletree (LB –Georgia)

22.  St. Louis Rams (from Washington Redskins) – Jeff Fisher got Sam Bradford a target earlier in the draft and know addresses his defense with this pick.  They need help in the secondary and have some options available here.

Pick:  Kenny Vaccaro (S – Texas)

23.  Minnesota Vikings – The Vikings face an aerial assault within the division from the Packers and Lions.  They need cover guys to slow it down.  They take the best available.

Pick:  Desmond Trufant (CB – Washington)

24.  Indianapolis Colts – They need pass rush and should be thrilled to find this player falling to them at 24.

Pick:  Bjoern Werner (DE – Florida State)

25.  Minnesota Vikings (from Seattle Seahawks) – Do the Vikings try to replace Percy Harvin with this pick or stick to improving the defense?  I think they should look to get a receiver to help Christian Ponder and Adrian Peterson.

Pick:  Keenan Allen (WR – Cal)

26.  Green Bay Packers – The Packers desperately want to improve their offensive line.  They may have to reach for a prospect here.

Pick:  Justin Pugh (OT – Syracuse)

27.  Houston Texans – The Texans would like to get a compliment to Andre Johnson.  I think they’re in the position to take a chance.

Pick:  Cordarrelle Patterson (WR – Tennessee)

28.  Denver Broncos – They need to replace the loss of Elvis Dumervil so the defensive front is where they’ll need to look here.

Pick:  Datone Jones (DE – UCLA)

29.  New England Patriots – They’ve got to look at corners to help their pass coverage.   A few players are very similar to choose from in this spot.

Pick:  D.J. Hayden (CB – Houston)

30.  Atlanta Falcons – They need to address the defensive line in this draft.  I think they’ll grab a player falling.

Pick:  Sylvester Williams (DT – North Carolina)

31.  San Francisco 49ers – The 49ers could use depth along the defensive front and will take a guy with tons of physical ability and is still raw.

Pick:  Margus Hunt (DE – SMU)

32.  Baltimore Ravens – They lose Ray Lewis so LB is a need.  I think they’ll look to get a tackling machine.

Pick:  Manti Te’o (LB – Notre Dame)

That’s how the first round should go.  Post your thoughts below and keep visitng SportsFormulator.com leading up to the draft for more info!

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2013 NFL Mock Draft – Version 2 (March 1)

 

Hundreds of college football players have been poked , proded, measured and tested in Indianapolis this week.  The NFL Combine is over so it’s time to do round 2 of 2013 NFL Mock Draft.  Here’s how the first 32 picks of the 2013 NFL Draft will go:

1.  Kansas City Chiefs – Luke Joeckel (OT – Texas A&M)

2.  Jacksonville Jaguars – Bjoern Werner (DE – Florida State)

3.  Oakland Raiders – Shariff Floyd (DT – Florida)

4.  Philadelphia Eagles – Eric Fisher (OT –Central Michigan)

5.  Detroit Lions – Dee Milliner (CB – Alabama)

6.  Cleveland Browns – Jarvis Jones (OLB – Georgia)

7.  Arizona Cardinals – Lane Johnson (OT – Oklahoma)

8.  Buffalo Bills – Chance Warmack (OG – Alabama)

9.  New York Jets – Dion Jordan (OLB – Oregon)

10.  Tennessee Titans – Star Lotulelei (DT – Utah)

11.  San Diego Chargers – Ezekiel Ansah (DE – BYU)

12.  Miami Dolphins – Cordarrelle Patterson (WR – Tennessee)

13.  Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Xavier Rhodes (CB – Florida State)

14.  Carolina Panthers – Sheldon Richardson (DT – Missouri)

15.  New Orleans Saints – Barkevious Mingo (DE – LSU)

16.  St. Louis Rams – Tyler Eifert (TE – Notre Dame)

17.  Pittsburgh Steelers – Alex Ogletree (ILB – Georgia)

18.  Dallas Cowboys – D.J. Fluker (OT – Alabama)

19.  New York Giants – Damontre Moore (DE – Texas A&M)

20.  Chicago Bears – Jonathan Cooper (OG – North Carolina)

21.  Cincinnati Bengals – Kenny Vaccaro (S – Texas)

22.  St. Louis Rams (from Washington Redskins) – Tavon Austin (WR – West Virginia)

23.  Minnesota Vikings – Keenan Allen (WR – California)

24.  Indianapolis Colts – Johnathan Jenkins (DT – Georgia)

25.  Seattle Seahawks –  Datone Jones (DT – UCLA)

26.  Green Bay Packers – Eddie Lacy (RB – Alabama)

27.  Houston Texans – Justin Hunter (WR – Tennessee)

28.  Denver Broncos – Desmond Trufant (CB – Washington)

29.  New England Patriots – Blidi Wreh-Wilson (CB – Connecticut)

30.  Atlanta Falcons – Alex Okafor (DE – Texas)

31.  San Francisco 49ers – Margus Hunt (DE – SMU)

32.  Baltimore Ravens – Manti Te’o (LB – Notre Dame)

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2013 NFL Mock Draft – Round 1

 

Congratulations to the Baltimore Ravens for winning the Super Bowl!   It was a great game and they showed they were the best team in football this season.

Now it’s time to turn our attention to the offseason and the best part of it…the draft.  Here is how round 1 of the 2013 NFL Draft will go:

1.  Kansas City Chiefs – Luke Joeckel (OT – Texas A&M)

2.  Jacksonville Jaguars – Damontre Moore (DE – Texas A&M)

3.  Oakland Raiders – Eric Fisher (OT –Central Michigan)

4.  Philadelphia Eagles – Bjoern Werner (DE – Florida State)

5.  Detroit Lions – Dee Milliner (CB – Alabama)

6.  Cleveland Browns – Star Lotulelei (DT – Utah)

7.  Arizona Cardinals – Chance Warmack (OG – Alabama)

8.  Buffalo Bills – Jarvis Jones (OLB – Georgia)

9.  New York Jets – Eddie Lacey (RB – Alabama)

10.  Tennessee Titans – Keenan Allen (WR – California)

11.  San Diego Chargers – Jake Matthews (OT – Texas A&M)

12.  Miami Dolphins – Tyler Eifert (TE – Notre Dame)

13.  Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Taylor Lewan (OT – Michigan)

14.  Carolina Panthers – Sheldon Richardson (DT – Missouri)

15.  New Orleans Saints – Barkevious Mingo (DE – LSU)

16.  St. Louis Rams – Cordarrelle Patterson (WR – Tennessee)

17.  Pittsburgh Steelers – Alec Ogletree (ILB – Georgia)

18.  Dallas Cowboys – Jonathan Cooper (OG – North Carolina)

19.  New York Giants – Dion Jordan (DE – Oregon)

20.  Chicago Bears – Kawann Short (DT – Purdue)

21.  Cincinnati Bengals – Eric Reid (S – LSU)

22.  St. Louis Rams (from Washington Redskins) – Zach Ertz (TE – Stanford)

23.  Minnesota Vikings – Justin Hunter (WR – Tennessee)

24.  Indianapolis Colts – Ezekiel Ansah (DE – BYU)

25.  Seattle Seahawks –  D.J. Fluker (OT – Alabama)

26.  Green Bay Packers – Barrett Jones (OC – Alabama)

27.  Houston Texans – Xavier Rhodes (CB – Florida State)

28.  Denver Broncos – Johnthan Banks (CB – Mississippi State)

29.  New England Patriots – Kenny Vaccaro (S – Texas)

30.  Atlanta Falcons – Alex Okafor (DE – Texas)

31.  San Francisco 49ers – Terrance Williams (WR – Baylor)

32.  Baltimore Ravens – Manti Te’o (LB – Notre Dame)

Super Bowl XLVII Prediction

 

 

We’re a strong 7-2-1 against the spread in the NFL Playoffs and hope to cap it off with a correct Super Bowl projection.  We’ve expanded our projection beyond the score for the Super Bowl by giving you a quarter by quarter scoring breakdown and each team’s statistical leaders.

Vegas lists the 49ers as 3.5 favorites and a total of 47.5.   And the winner of Super Bowl XLVII is…

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 FINAL
San Francisco 49ers 0 7 7 14 28
Baltimore Ravens 3 7 7 7 24

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Statistical Leaders for Super Bowl XLVII:

Passing:
Ravens: Joe Flacco – 16/25 for 266 yards, 2 touchdowns
49ers: Colin Kaepernick – 14/22 for 218 yards, 1 touchdown

Rushing:
Ravens: Ray Rice – 18 carries for 62 yards, 1 touchdown
49ers: Frank Gore – 22 carries for 89 yards, 2 touchdowns

Receiving:
Ravens: Anquan Boldin – 6 catches for 74 yards, 1 touchdown
49ers: Vernon Davis – 8 catches for 95 yards, 1 touchdown

Tackles:
Ravens: Ray Lewis – 8 tackles
49ers: Patrick Willis – 11 tackles

MVP of Super Bowl XLVII:  Frank Gore (49ers)

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10 Teams that Can’t Blow the 2013 NFL Draft

 

I want to help you through the NFL withdrawal of this weekend.  I’m sure you want a break from the Harbaugh brothers for a few days before Tuesday’s Super Bowl media day.   You’re probably not interested in getting your NFL fix by watching the pathetic Pro Bowl.  So we turn our attention to the 2013 NFL Draft coming to you 3 months from today!  These are the 10 teams (in draft order) that simply must make a great pick with their first selection on April 25, 2013.

1.  Kansas City Chiefs – it’s a talented roster in Kansas City that was unmotivated it seemed last season.  They limped to a 2-14 finish to claim the top spot.  They desperately need stability at the quarterback position but this isn’t the draft with a clear cut top QB much less one worthy of the top overall spot.  They should focus on the offensive line or take a pass rusher.  You simply can’t have too many good linemen (ask the 49ers) or too many pass rushers (ask the Ravens).

2.  Jacksonville Jaguars – the Jags have a new coach and really need talent.  They only won two games last year because their talent is lacking.  They will go after a pass rusher here because they face Andrew Luck and Matt Schaub twice a year.

6.  Cleveland Browns – They’ve been picking early in Cleveland for years and it’s time they make a move toward playoff contention.  They must make a pick here to impact the roster right away.  I think they’ll look for a pass rusher here though they need playmakers on offense as well.

9.  New York Jets – It’s do or die in 2013 for Rex Ryan and crew.  They need to be better after such a mess of a season in 2012.  Ryan loves guys who can pressure the QB but with a potential trade coming for Darrelle Revis, a CB might be the choice here.  Regardless, the player taken by the Jets better be an impact player to help them back to the playoffs.

12.  Miami Dolphins – The Dolphins had some bright spots last season but need more playmakers on both sides of the ball to make a playoff push.  I think Dolphins look for the best available player here.

15.  New Orleans Saints – Many in the Big Easy feel 2012 was a lost season due to the bounty scandal.  So they’re looking to rebound in 2013 with the return on Sean Payton and a new D-coordinator.  They must address the defense that was atrocious last season.  They’ll take the best defensive player on the board at 15.

17.  Pittsburgh Steelers – The Steelers had to watch the playoffs this year, not something they want to get comfortable with in Pittsburgh.  They’re a team that’s aging so they need to grab a player here that’ll be able to contribute to a team that should be back in playoff contention next season.  It might be time to address the secondary with the pick here.

18.  Dallas Cowboys – The Cowboys are a mystery.  They’ve had a talented roster for the past few seasons but can’t get over the hump and make a run to the Super Bowl.  They must have a great draft and that’ll start by drafting a lineman to solidify the pourous line they had in 2012.

21.  Cincinnati Bengals – They’ve had back to back trips to the playoffs but haven’t been able to get the W to advance.  They’re a young roster and with another good player they could get over the hump and win the AFC North and host a playoff game.  I think they go after a pass rusher here.

24.  The Indianapolis Colts – A huge 2012 season as they went from having the top pick to making the playoffs.  It’s a roster that isn’t deep with talent though and they won’t sneak up on anyone in 2013.  They’ll have a tougher schedule and need an impact player at 24.  With Dwight Freeney on his way out, drafting his replacement is a good idea here.

The SportsFormulator.com 2013 NFL Mock Draft will debut the day after the Super Bowl.

Which teams do you think must nail their first pick this April?  Post your comments below.

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NFL Conference Championship Predictions

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We went 3-1 last weekend against the spread dropping the final game of the weekend to end our perfect playoff run that started 7-0.  We’re 7-1 ATS and SU in the NFL Playoffs.  Teams have worked all year for this Sunday.  Two teams advance to the Super Bowl in New Orleans.  Here’s how the conference championships go on Sunday:

TEAM SCORE VEGAS LINE CONF %
49ers 21 48.5 46%
Falcons 23 4 54%
Ravens 21 51.5 48%
Patriots 31 -7.5 52%

Matt’s Mind on the Conference Championships:

Colin Kaepernick was spectacular last week but he was at home and against a Green Bay defense that has been poor all season.  I thiink people are overreacting to it.  I expect the Falcons to play very loose and pull the surprise and advance to the Super Bowl.  I can see the Niners winning but this is a field goal game either way.

The Ravens are a popular ATS spread as revenge tends to be their big motivator after they fell short in this same spot last year.  I think the Patriots are going to slice and dice the Ravens defense.  They have more playmakers than the Broncos who carved the Ravens last week.  I expect this to be close at the half and like last week and as much as I’d rather see anyone but them, the Patriots pull away late.

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NFL Divisional Playoff Predictions

 

We had a perfect start to the NFL playoffs going 4-0 (100%) against the spread last week and called each game correctly as well with all four winners.  We’ve combined some segments into our NFL Wildcard picks as we bring picks on each game from a handicapper.

Check out our projected odds for each team to win their conference and Super Bowl XLVII.

This is how the formula sees the NFL Divisional Playoffs:

TEAM SCORE VEGAS LINE CONF %
Ravens 20 46.5 53%
Broncos 28 -9.5 47%
Texans 23 47.5 51%
Patriots 31 -9.5 49%
Seahawks 23 46 50%
Falcons 24 -2.5 50%
Packers 20 45 48%
49ers 24 -3 52%

Matt’s Picks:

Ravens at Broncos –  I think the Ravens will be out to avenge a disappointing defeat at home to the Broncos in the regular season.  The Broncos have a solid homefield advantage in this one but I look for the Ravens to run Ray Rice and Bernard Pierce a lot to keep Peyton Manning on the sideline.  I think the Ravens keep it to no more than a touchdown difference but the Broncos advance.

Texans at Patriots – Another revenge game as the Texans were blown out on Monday Night Football at the Patriots not long ago.  Then they were called out by the Boston media this week.  The Texans need to run Arian Foster as Matt Schaub has struggled of late.   I expect the Texans hang in from start to finish but not have enough to eliminate Tom Brady and the Patriots this weekend.  Take the Texans and the points.

Seahawks at Falcons – This is the toughest game to predict this weekend.  Seattle is on a roll but is banged up.  Marshawn Lynch hasn’t been practicing but expects to play and Chris Clemons is out at DE for their stellar defense.  The Falcons have had two weeks to prepare for this game and must overcome their inability to win in the playoffs.  This is the best team Atlanta has had…maybe ever.  This has to be the year they get the W in the playoffs or the heat will be on Mike Smith and Matt Ryan like never before next season.  I think the play here is the Seahawks and points since it’s a toss up game.  Either team could advance but I’ll take the Seahawks to win outright.

Packers at 49ers – I think this is the game the public is missing this weekend.  Everyone seems to be on the Packers.  I think the Packers are in for a tough game because their offensive line is still not very good.  I expect the Niners D to keep the pressure on him and a steady dose of Frank Gore to have San Francisco host another NFC Championship.  Lay the points and take the 49ers.

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NFL Wildcard Playoff Predictions

 

It’s time for our first NFL picks in 2013.  We’ve combined some segments into our NFL Wildcard picks as we bring our picks from the formula and two handicappers.

Check out our projected odds for each team to win their conference and Super Bowl XLVII.

TEAM SCORE VEGAS LINE CONF %
Bengals 21 43.5 49%
Texans 26 -4.5 51%
Vikings 22 46 46%
Packers 31 -7.5 54%
Colts 17 47 39%
Ravens 28 -7 61%
Seahawks 24 46 53%
Redskins 20 3 47%

Matt’s Mind – NFL Wildcard Weekend Edition:

Bengals at Texas (-4.5)The Texans are sputtering into the playoffs and have a rematch with the Bengals from last year’s wildcard round except Matt Schaub will play in this one.  I think the Texans get back on track and advance.

Vikings at Packers (-7.5)
These two played each other last week with the Vikes winning to qualify for the playoffs. The Packers will bounce back but I think Adrian Peterson keeps the Vikings in this one for the first half before the Pack pulls away. Packers win by double digits.

Colts at Ravens (-7)
I feel the Colts are overrated. They played a weak schedule and collide with a Ravens team ready to make a run. This Ravens’ team could see a lot of changes if they lose this game. You have the Chuck Pogano return and Ray Lewis retirement motivating both teams. I like the Ravens to win by at least 14.

Seahawks at Redskins (+3)
I think the Seahawks are a great team capable of making a run to the Super Bowl. Their defense has the playmakers to keep RGIII in check and advance. I see this being a low scoring game and will takes the Seahawks 21-17.

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Projected Odds for NFL Playoffs

 

The NFL Playoffs are now upon us as we have four games this weekend.  We decided to take the suspense (not really) out of waiting to see who will take home the Lombardi Trophy next month.  Based on our formula, we projected each team’s chance of winning both their conference and Super Bowl XLVII.

Odds to Win the AFC Championship
New England Patriots – 26%
Denver Broncos – 22%
Houston Texans – 19%
Baltimore Ravens – 15%
Cincinnati Bengals – 14%
Indianapolis Colts – 4%

Odds to Win the NFC Championship
San Francisco 49ers – 21%
Atlanta Falcons – 20%
Seattle Seahawks – 20%
Green Bay Packers – 19%
Washington Redskins – 12%
Minnesota Vikings – 8%

Odds to Win Super Bowl XLVII
New England Patriots – 17%
Seattle Seahawks – 13%
Denver Broncos – 12%
San Francisco 49ers -12%
Atlanta Falcons – 11%
Green Bay Packers – 10%
Houston Texans – 9%
Baltimore Ravens – 5%
Cincinnati Bengals – 4%
Washington Redskins – 4%
Minnesota Vikings – 2%
Indianapolis Colts – 1%

You’re saying say to yourself how do the Seahawks have a better chance of winning the Super Bowl than the 49ers when the 49ers have a better chance of winning the NFC. Simply, we ran every scenario for the playoffs in calculating these odds and in some cases the Seahawks have a higher winning percentage against some teams than the 49ers.

Odds of Conference Win Super Bowl XLVII
NFC – 54%
AFC – 46%

These odds are calculated based on all the potential Super Bowl XLVII match-ups, not by simply adding up the odds of each team in the conference’s odds of winning.

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NFL Week 17 Predictions


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The NFL winds down this week and 20 teams play their final game.  Some have little to play for while others are jockeying for playoff position.  RGIII has his chance to become a DC legend with a win over the Cowboys to win the NFC East and send the Redskins to the playoffs.  This is how we see the final week of the 2012 NFL season playing out:

TEAM SCORE VEGAS LINE
Jets 17 39
Bills 23 -3
Dolphins 17 46.5
Patriots 30 -10
Ravens 20 41
Bengals 21 -2.5
Browns 10 34.5
Steelers 24 -10
Texans 28 46.5
Colts 17 6.5
Jaguars 21 42
Titans 20 -4
Eagles 17 46
Giants 30 -7
Cowboys 24 49
Redskins 23 -3
Bears 24 45
Lions 21 3
Packers 34 46
Vikings 24 3
Buccaneers 24 45
Falcons 31 -5
Panthers 21 54
Saints 33 -5
Chiefs 10 42
Broncos 34 -16
Raiders 17 39
Chargers 28 -9.5
Cardinals 7 39
49ers 34 -16.5
Rams 10 41
Seahawks 31 -10.5